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Benson Hill (Benson Hill) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-5.30 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Benson Hill Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-30), Benson Hill's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-5.30.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Benson Hill's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Benson Hill is N/A.

The industry rank for Benson Hill's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

BHIL's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Agriculture industry.
Industry Median: 1.01
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Benson Hill Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Benson Hill's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Benson Hill Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Benson Hill Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Benson Hill Quarterly Data
Dec19 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Benson Hill's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Benson Hill's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Benson Hill's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Benson Hill's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Benson Hill's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Benson Hill Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5.20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Benson Hill's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 5.20%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5.20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.453.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Benson Hill's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.052)/(1+0.11) = 0.94774774774775
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.453*11.6911
=-5.30

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-5.3-0.1987)/-5.3
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Benson Hill  (NYSE:BHIL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Benson Hill Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Benson Hill's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Benson Hill (Benson Hill) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1001 North Warson Road, Saint Louis, MO, USA, 63132
Benson Hill Inc is a food technology company. It operates in one segment Ingredients. The ingredients segment is currently focused on commercializing soybean and yellow pea products, including soy-based specialty vegetable oils, aquaculture and animal feed, and ultra-high protein soy-based ingredients that have the potential to eliminate costly water and energy-intensive processing associated with producing products for the food and feed markets, alleviating supply constraints to help bring plant-based proteins to scale.
Executives
Bruce Tyler Bennett officer: President, Ingredients C/O BENSON HILL, INC., 1001 N. WARSON RD., ST. LEWIS MO 63132
Richard L Mack director 9590 SKY LANE, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55347
Yevgeny Fundler officer: Chief Legal Officer, other: Corporate Secretary 1001 NORTH WARSON ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63132
Jason Bull officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O BENSON HILL, INC., 1001 N. WARSON RD., ST. LEWIS MO 63132
Dean P Freeman officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BENSON HILL, INC.,1001 N WARSON RD, SAINT LOUIS MO 63132
Matthew B. Crisp director, officer: President and CEO C/O BENSON HILL, INC., 1001 N. WARSON RD., ST. LEWIS MO 63132
Montgomery Molly director 739 MILLER AVENUE, MILL VALLEY CA 94941
David J. Lee director C/O ZYNGA INC., 699 8TH STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Deann L Brunts director, officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O B&G FOODS, INC., 4 GATEHALL DRIVE, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Adrienne Elsner director ONE OWENS CORNING PKWY, TOLEDO OH 43659
Linda Whitley-taylor director C/O BENSON HILL, INC., 1001 NORTH WARSON ROAD, SAINT LOUIS MO 63132
Stephan Dolezalek director C/O BENSON HILL, INC., 1001 N. WARSON RD., ST. LEWIS MO 63132
Daniel Jacobi director C/O BENSON HILL, INC., 1001 N. WARSON RD., ST. LEWIS MO 63132
Michael D. Wilds officer: CFO and CAO C/O MAGNETAR CAPITAL LLC, 1603 ORRINGTON AVENUE, 13TH FLOOR, EVANSTON IL 60201
Star Peak Sponsor Ii Llc 10 percent owner 1603 ORRINGTON AVENUE, 13TH FLOOR, EVANSTON IL 60201