Trius Therapeutics, (FRA:TEU) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : €-11.36 (As of May. 18, 2024)

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What is Trius Therapeutics, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-18), Trius Therapeutics,'s intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is €-11.36.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Trius Therapeutics,'s Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Trius Therapeutics, is N/A.

The industry rank for Trius Therapeutics,'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:TEU's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry.
Industry Median: 1.29
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Trius Therapeutics, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Trius Therapeutics,'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Trius Therapeutics, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Trius Therapeutics, Annual Data

Trend

Dec07

Dec08

Dec09

Dec10

Dec11

Dec12

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

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Trius Therapeutics, Quarterly Data
	Dec08	Sep09	Dec09	Mar10	Jun10	Sep10	Dec10	Mar11	Jun11	Sep11	Dec11	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13	Jun13
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial												-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Trius Therapeutics,'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, Trius Therapeutics,'s Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Trius Therapeutics,'s Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Medical Diagnostics & Research Industry

For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, Trius Therapeutics,'s Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Trius Therapeutics,'s Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

Trius Therapeutics, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.42%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Trius Therapeutics,'s average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = €-0.984.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Trius Therapeutics,'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

-0.984

11.5406

-11.36

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(-11.36	-	10.26)	/	-11.36
	=	N/A

Trius Therapeutics, (FRA:TEU) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Trius Therapeutics, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Trius Therapeutics, (FRA:TEU) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Diagnostics & Research » Trius Therapeutics, Inc. (FRA:TEU) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Website

http://www.triusrx.com

Trius Therapeutics, Inc., was incorporated in California in June 2004. It is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery, development and commercialization of innovative antibiotics for serious infections. The Company is developing tedizolid phosphate, a new, novel antibiotic, for the treatment of serious Gram-positive bacterial infections, including those caused by methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureus, or MRSA. Tedizolid phosphate is being developed for acute bacterial skin and skin structure infections, or ABSSSI, and pneumonia, and potentially for other indications. ABSSSI is the current classification for complicated skin and skin structure infections. In addition, the company is discovering antibiotics for infections caused by Gram-negative bacteria using its structure based discovery platform. In December 2011, it reported top line data from its first Phase 3 clinical trial, the ESTABLISH 1 (TR701-112) study, of the oral dosage form of tedizolid phosphate for the treatment of ABSSSI. All primary and secondary endpoints for the ESTABLISH 1 study were achieved. In December 2012, the company completed enrollment in its second Phase 3 clinical trial, the ESTABLISH 2 (TR701-113) study, of the intravenous to oral transition therapy for the treatment of ABSSSI. Its current development efforts are focused on developing tedizolid phosphate (formerly known as torezolid phosphate), an intravenous, or IV, and oral antibiotic, for the treatment of serious gram-positive bacterial infections, initially for acute bacterial skin and skin structure infections and subsequently for other indications, including pneumonia. ABSSSI is a new classification for complicated skin and skin structure infections. Tedizolid phosphate is an IV and orally administered second generation oxazolidinone. Its strategy is to discover and develop a pipeline of antibiotics focused on the treatment of life-threatening infections, consisting of tedizolid phosphate and additional compounds discovered internally using its proprietary discovery platform. The Company employs the services of Albany Molecular Research Incorporated to produce tedizolid phosphate API and Patheon, Inc., or Patheon, to produce the solid oral and sterile IV tedizolid phosphate finished products. It currently employs internal resources and third-party consultants to manage its manufacturing contractors. Its competitors include large pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, specialty pharmaceutical and generic drug companies, academic institutions, government agencies and research institutions. The Company is subject to a variety of foreign regulations governing clinical trials and commercial sales and distribution of its products to the extent it choose to sell any products outside of the United States.

Trius Therapeutics, (FRA:TEU) Headlines

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