Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-2.93 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)

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What is Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-30), Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-2.93. The stock price of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is $5.01. Therefore, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AUPH's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked ^*
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.32
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

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-0.87

-0.72

-1.89

-2.83

-2.93

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-2.83	-3.20	-3.12	-3.11	-2.93

Competitive Comparison of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-75.94.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	=	(Growth Multiple	*	Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)	+	Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)	*	0.8)	/	Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
	=	(9.5203515959648	*	-75.94464	+	377.954	*	0.8)	/	143.689
	=	-2.93

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (NAS:AUPH) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF	=	Share Price	/	Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
	=	5.01	/	-2.9275482091808
	=

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc (NAS:AUPH) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

IKAP:Germany IKAP:Germany

Address

4464 Markham Street, Suite 1203, Victoria, BC, CAN, V8Z 7X8

Website

https://www.auriniapharma.com

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc is a biopharmaceutical company. It provides products for patients suffering from serious diseases with a high unmet medical need. The firm is developing LUPKYNIS (voclosporin), an investigational drug, for the treatment of lupus nephritis (LN), focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS), and Dry Eye Syndrome (DES). Geographically, it derives maximum revenue from the United States.

Executives

Robert T Foster	director	C/O CONTRAVIR PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 399 THORNALL STREET, FIRST FLOOR, EDISON NJ 08837
Karen L. Smith	director	C/O JAZZ PHARMACEUTICALS PLC, 5TH FL, WATERLOO EXCHANGE, WATERLOO RD, DUBLIN L2 4 L2
Jeffrey Allen Bailey	director	BIODELIVERY SCIENCES INTERNATIONAL, INC., 4131 PARKLAKE AVE., SUITE 225, RALEIGH NC 27612
R. Hector Mackay-dunn	director	#1203-4464 MARKHAM STREET, VICTORIA A1 V8Z7X8
Jayne David R.w.	director	#1203-4464 MARKHAM STREET, VICTORIA A1 BC V8Z7X8
Jill Leversage	director	#1203-4464 MARKHAM STREET, VICTORIA A1 V8Z 7X8
Daniel Billen	director	#1203-4464 MARKHAM STREET, VICTORIA A1 V8Z 7X8
Joseph P Hagan	director	3344 N. TORREY PINES COURT, SUITE 200, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Brinda Balakrishnan	director	#1203-4464 MARKHAM STREET, VICTORIA A1 V8Z7X8
Peter Greenleaf	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	ONE MEDIMMUNE WAY, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Joseph M Miller	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O CERECOR INC., 400 EAST PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Stephen P. Robertson	officer: EVP, General Counsel	#1203-4464 MARKHAM STREET, VICTORIA A1 BC V8Z7X8
Milne George M Jr	director
Matthew Maxwell Donley	officer: Ex VP, Intern'l Operations	4520 EAST WEST HIGHWAY, 3RD FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Scott Michael Habig	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	#1203-4464 MARKHAM STREET, VICTORIA A1 V8Z7X8