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Avadel Pharmaceuticals (Avadel Pharmaceuticals) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-7.37 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Avadel Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-01), Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-7.37. The stock price of Avadel Pharmaceuticals is $18.33. Therefore, Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Avadel Pharmaceuticals was 12.72. The lowest was 4.74. And the median was 5.44.

AVDL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.
Industry Median: 1.545
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.94 -1.20 -5.71 -9.40 -7.37

Avadel Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -9.40 -10.40 -7.63 -7.68 -7.37

Competitive Comparison of Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Avadel Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-76.96.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-76.95664+87.739*0.8)/89.903
=-7.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Avadel Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:AVDL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=18.33/-7.3686425418962
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Avadel Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Avadel Pharmaceuticals (Avadel Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10 Earlsfort Terrace, Dublin 2, Dublin, IRL, D02 T380
Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC is a specialty pharmaceutical company. It identifies, develops, and commercializes branded pharmaceutical products including controlled-release therapeutic products based on its proprietary drug delivery technologies in the United States. The company markets products in both the primary care and sterile injectables markets. Its products portfolio includes Bloxiverz, Vazculep (phenylephrine hydrochloride injection), Akovaz (ephedrine sulfate injection), Karbinal ER (carbinoxamine maleate extended-release oral suspension), AcipHex Sprinkle (rabeprazole sodium), Cefaclor for Oral Suspension, 125 mg/5 mL, 250 mg/5 mL and 375 mg/5 mL, and Flexichamber. Majority of the revenue is derived from the United States.
Executives
Thomas S Mchugh officer: Chief Financial Officer 2280 SCHUETZ ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63146
Mark Anthony Mccamish director C/O FORTY SEVEN, INC., 1490 O'BRIEN DRIVE, SUITE A, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Geoffrey Michael Glass director 4721 EMPEROR BLVD, SUITE 200, DURHAM NC 27703
Greg J Divis director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15
Richard J Kim officer: Chief Commercial Officer 16 FAIRWAY DRIVE, WEST WINDSOR NJ 08550
Eric J Ende director C/O MATINAS BIOPHARMA HOLDINGS, INC., 1545 ROUTE 206 SOUTH, SUITE 302, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921
Linda Palczuk director 7015 ALBERT EINSTEIN DRIVE, COLUMBIA MD 21046
Peter Thornton director TECHNOPATH LIFE SCIENCES PARK, FORT HENRY, BALLINA, CO. TIPPERARY L2 V94 FF1P
Douglas J Williamson officer: Chief Medical Officer AVADEL PHARMACEUTICALS PLC, 10 EARLSFORT TERRACE, DUBLIN L2 D02 T390
Sandra L Hatten officer: See Remarks 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15
Jason Vaughn officer: Sr. VP, Technical Operations 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15
Jordan Dubow officer: Chief Medical Officer 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15
Michael F Kanan officer: See Remarks 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15
David P Gusky officer: See Remarks 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15
Michael S Anderson director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15

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