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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-05-01), Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-7.37. The stock price of Avadel Pharmaceuticals is $18.33. Therefore, Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.
The historical rank and industry rank for Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Avadel Pharmaceuticals was 12.72. The lowest was 4.74. And the median was 5.44.
The historical data trend for Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Avadel Pharmaceuticals Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -4.94 | -1.20 | -5.71 | -9.40 | -7.37 |
Avadel Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar19 | Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -9.40 | -10.40 | -7.63 | -7.68 | -7.37 |
For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-76.96.
Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (9.5203515959648 | * | -76.95664 | + | 87.739 | * | 0.8) | / | 89.903 | |
= | -7.37 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Avadel Pharmaceuticals (NAS:AVDL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 18.33 | / | -7.3686425418962 | |
= |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Thomas S Mchugh | officer: Chief Financial Officer | 2280 SCHUETZ ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63146 |
Mark Anthony Mccamish | director | C/O FORTY SEVEN, INC., 1490 O'BRIEN DRIVE, SUITE A, MENLO PARK CA 94025 |
Geoffrey Michael Glass | director | 4721 EMPEROR BLVD, SUITE 200, DURHAM NC 27703 |
Greg J Divis | director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15 |
Richard J Kim | officer: Chief Commercial Officer | 16 FAIRWAY DRIVE, WEST WINDSOR NJ 08550 |
Eric J Ende | director | C/O MATINAS BIOPHARMA HOLDINGS, INC., 1545 ROUTE 206 SOUTH, SUITE 302, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921 |
Linda Palczuk | director | 7015 ALBERT EINSTEIN DRIVE, COLUMBIA MD 21046 |
Peter Thornton | director | TECHNOPATH LIFE SCIENCES PARK, FORT HENRY, BALLINA, CO. TIPPERARY L2 V94 FF1P |
Douglas J Williamson | officer: Chief Medical Officer | AVADEL PHARMACEUTICALS PLC, 10 EARLSFORT TERRACE, DUBLIN L2 D02 T390 |
Sandra L Hatten | officer: See Remarks | 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15 |
Jason Vaughn | officer: Sr. VP, Technical Operations | 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15 |
Jordan Dubow | officer: Chief Medical Officer | 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15 |
Michael F Kanan | officer: See Remarks | 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15 |
David P Gusky | officer: See Remarks | 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15 |
Michael S Anderson | director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15 |
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