Eurocastle Investment (CHIX:ECTA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: €121.50 (As of Aug. 10, 2026) — 303650% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CHIX:ECTA Eurocastle Investment Ltd CHIX:ECTA
45 GF Score
Price €8.20
GF Value €2.75
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Eurocastle Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Eurocastle Investment CHIX:ECTA 45 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €121.50 as of Aug. 10, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.04. GuruFocus rates CHIX:ECTA with a GF Score™ of 45/100 and a GF Value™ of €2.75. The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,214 Asset Management companies, Eurocastle Investment ranks better than 98.93% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-10), Eurocastle Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €121.50. The stock price of Eurocastle Investment is €8.20. Therefore, Eurocastle Investment's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Eurocastle Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:ECTa' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.01   Med: 0.04   Max: 0.37
Current: 0.07

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Eurocastle Investment was 0.37. The lowest was 0.01. And the median was 0.04.

CHIX:ECTa's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
98.93% of 1214 companies
in the Asset Management industry
Industry Median: 0.91 vs CHIX:ECTa: 0.07

Eurocastle Investment  (CHIX:ECTa) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Eurocastle Investment's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=8.20/205.96274614935
=0.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Eurocastle Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Eurocastle Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Eurocastle Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Eurocastle Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Eurocastle Investment Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 643.05 754.58 719.05 340.65 138.43

Eurocastle Investment Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 719.05 1,246.80 340.65 509.22 138.43

CHIX:ECTA vs BLK, BX, KKR: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Eurocastle Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Eurocastle Investment Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Eurocastle Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Eurocastle Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


CHIX:ECTA
45GF Score
Eurocastle Investment Ltd CHIX:ECTA
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Eurocastle Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Eurocastle Investment's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €19.83.

Eurocastle Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5858149152102*19.831285714286+20.602*0.8)/1.003
=205.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of €121.50 mean?
Eurocastle Investment (CHIX:ECTA) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of €121.50 as of Aug. 10, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Eurocastle Investment and its competitors. This is 303650% above median its historical median of 0.04. Over the past decade, Eurocastle Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.01 to 0.37. According to the industry distribution chart, Eurocastle Investment ranks #13 out of 1214 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 1.1%.
Is Eurocastle Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Eurocastle Investment's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of €121.50 is 303650% above median its 10-year median of 0.04. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.01 to a high of 0.37. Based on the distribution chart, Eurocastle Investment ranks #13 out of 1214 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Eurocastle Investment has a GF Score™ of 45/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Eurocastle Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to BLK and BX?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, Eurocastle Investment ranks #13 out of 1214 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Eurocastle Investment in the top 1% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.91. Historically, Eurocastle Investment's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.01 to 0.37 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Asset Management company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Asset Management companies is 0.91, based on 1,214 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Eurocastle Investment and its competitors. For the Asset Management industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.91 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Eurocastle Investment's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €121.50, which is 303650% above median its own 10-year median of 0.04. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Eurocastle Investment stock overvalued right now?
Eurocastle Investment (CHIX:ECTA) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of €121.50. The stock's GF Value™ is €2.75, compared to a current price of €8.20 — trading 198.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €121.50, which is 303650% above median its 10-year median of 0.04. Eurocastle Investment's overall GF Score™ is 45/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Eurocastle Investment (CHIX:ECTA), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €121.50 as of Aug. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Eurocastle Investment (CHIX:ECTA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Eurocastle Investment stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €8.20 is trading 198.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of €2.75.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:ECTA:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: €121.50 (303650% above median its 10-year median of 0.04)
  • GF Value™: €2.75 vs. price of €8.20 (198.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 45/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:ECTA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Eurocastle Investment Business Description

Other Exchanges ECT:Netherlands
Address Hirzel Street, Oak House, Saint Peter Port, GGY, GY1 2NP
Eurocastle Investment Ltd is a publicly traded closed-ended investment company. The company focuses on opportunistic real estate investments in Greece and Southern Europe. The portfolio of the company includes residual interests in two Real Estate Funds in liquidation, with remaining assets comprising Net Corporate Cash for new investments. The company's business segments are categorized into New Investment and Legacy Italian Investments. Geographically, the company operates only in Europe.
45GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:ECTA

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€8.20
Price
€2.75
GF Value