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Navana CNG (DHA:NAVANACNG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : BDT-12.39 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Navana CNG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-30), Navana CNG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is BDT-12.39. The stock price of Navana CNG is BDT24.80. Therefore, Navana CNG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Navana CNG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

DHA:NAVANACNG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Industry Median: 1.03
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Navana CNG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Navana CNG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Navana CNG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Navana CNG Annual Data
Trend Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -200.59 -193.96 -188.71 -164.74 -58.89

Navana CNG Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -129.90 -97.78 -58.89 -30.74 -12.39

Competitive Comparison of Navana CNG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Navana CNG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Navana CNG's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Navana CNG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Navana CNG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Navana CNG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Navana CNG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = BDT-296.58.

Navana CNG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-296.58208+2359.299*0.8)/75.553
=-12.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Navana CNG  (DHA:NAVANACNG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Navana CNG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=24.80/-12.390328361052
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Navana CNG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Navana CNG (DHA:NAVANACNG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
205-207, Tejgaon Industrial Area, Dhaka, BGD, 1208
Navana CNG Ltd is engaged in converting petrol and diesel-driven vehicles to compressed natural gas (CNG) driven vehicles, CNG refueling stations, and other related services. The company also focuses on re-testing facilities, package maintenance programs, and manufacturing polymer, plastic, polyethylene, and tubes. Its operating segment includes a Conversion Workshop and CNG & LPG Station. The company generates maximum revenue from the CNG Station segment.

Navana CNG (DHA:NAVANACNG) Headlines

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