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Barry Callebaut AG (FRA:BCLN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €1,027.33 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Barry Callebaut AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-27), Barry Callebaut AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €1,027.33. The stock price of Barry Callebaut AG is €1760.00. Therefore, Barry Callebaut AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Barry Callebaut AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:BCLN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.64   Med: 2.78   Max: 4.98
Current: 1.71

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Barry Callebaut AG was 4.98. The lowest was 1.64. And the median was 2.78.

FRA:BCLN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
66.32% of 1244 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.15 vs FRA:BCLN: 1.71

Barry Callebaut AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Barry Callebaut AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Barry Callebaut AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Barry Callebaut AG Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 634.09 660.35 697.62 894.27 1,073.97

Barry Callebaut AG Semi-Annual Data
Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 894.27 - 1,073.97 -

Competitive Comparison of Barry Callebaut AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Confectioners subindustry, Barry Callebaut AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Barry Callebaut AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Barry Callebaut AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Barry Callebaut AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Barry Callebaut AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Barry Callebaut AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €267.80.

Barry Callebaut AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Aug23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.613375984848*267.80328571429+3023.66*0.8)/5.492
=1,006.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Barry Callebaut AG  (FRA:BCLN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Barry Callebaut AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1760.00/1006.7422154002
=1.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Barry Callebaut AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Barry Callebaut AG (FRA:BCLN) Business Description

Address
Hardturmstrasse 181, Zurich, CHE, 8005
Barry Callebaut is a significant manufacturer and supplier of cocoa and chocolate ingredients, employing over 13,000 people. Customers include food and beverage makers as well as craftspeople, chocolatiers, pastry chefs, and bakers who utilize chocolate professionally. Barry Callebaut is vertically integrated from raw material (cocoa bean) procurement through chocolate manufacture, while not owning any cocoa farms. The firm produces around 40% of the world's industrial chocolate (open market), and its products are used in approximately 20% of the world's chocolate and cocoa goods. Barry Callebaut's sustainability endeavors are reflected in the fact that the company's Sustainalytics ESG Risk Rating is one of the lowest in its subcategory and first among its peers.

Barry Callebaut AG (FRA:BCLN) Headlines

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