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Horizon Petroleum (FRA:HPM1) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €-0.15 (As of Jun. 13, 2024)


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What is Horizon Petroleum Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-13), Horizon Petroleum's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €-0.15. The stock price of Horizon Petroleum is €0.019. Therefore, Horizon Petroleum's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Horizon Petroleum's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:HPM1's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 0.81
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Horizon Petroleum Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Horizon Petroleum's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Horizon Petroleum Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Horizon Petroleum Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
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Horizon Petroleum Quarterly Data
Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23
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Competitive Comparison of Horizon Petroleum's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Horizon Petroleum's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Horizon Petroleum's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Horizon Petroleum's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Horizon Petroleum's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Horizon Petroleum Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Horizon Petroleum's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €-0.47.

Horizon Petroleum's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Nov23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-0.46768+-2.063/0.8)/59.8572
=-0.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Horizon Petroleum  (FRA:HPM1) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Horizon Petroleum's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.019/-0.11746670466378
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Horizon Petroleum Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Horizon Petroleum's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Horizon Petroleum (FRA:HPM1) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
540 - 5th Avenue SW, No. 920, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P0M2
Horizon Petroleum Ltd is involved in the exploration, acquisition, and development of oil and gas properties. The current operating project of the company are Cieszyn and Bielsko-Biala properties in Poland.

Horizon Petroleum (FRA:HPM1) Headlines

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