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NetScout Systems (FRA:NSZ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €41.59 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is NetScout Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-05), NetScout Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €41.59. The stock price of NetScout Systems is €18.90. Therefore, NetScout Systems's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for NetScout Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:NSZ' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.46   Med: 0.73   Max: 1.64
Current: 0.46

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of NetScout Systems was 1.64. The lowest was 0.46. And the median was 0.73.

FRA:NSZ's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
93.7% of 1269 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.63 vs FRA:NSZ: 0.46

NetScout Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for NetScout Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NetScout Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

NetScout Systems Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.49 36.74 36.23 43.29 43.99

NetScout Systems Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 44.26 43.99 43.46 42.82 40.28

Competitive Comparison of NetScout Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, NetScout Systems's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NetScout Systems's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, NetScout Systems's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NetScout Systems's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



NetScout Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get NetScout Systems's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €149.46.

NetScout Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*149.45936+1745.879*0.8)/71.077
=39.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NetScout Systems  (FRA:NSZ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

NetScout Systems's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=18.90/39.669778641584
=0.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NetScout Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NetScout Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


NetScout Systems (FRA:NSZ) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
310 Littleton Road, Westford, MA, USA, 01886-4105
NetScout Systems Inc is a provider of service assurance and cybersecurity solutions to enterprise and government networks. It bases its solutions on proprietary adaptive service intelligence technology, which helps customers monitor and identify performance issues and provides insight into network-based security threats. These solutions also deliver real-time and historical information, which provides insight to restore service and understand the quality of user experience. The company derives revenue primarily from the sale of network management tools and security solutions. Its geographical regions include USA, Europe, Asia, and Rest of the World.

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