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New Hope (FRA:OD8) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €6.12 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is New Hope Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-01), New Hope's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €6.12. The stock price of New Hope is €2.731. Therefore, New Hope's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for New Hope's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:OD8' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.38   Med: 0.84   Max: 7.27
Current: 0.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of New Hope was 7.27. The lowest was 0.38. And the median was 0.84.

FRA:OD8's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
64.1% of 117 companies
in the Other Energy Sources industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs FRA:OD8: 0.45

New Hope Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for New Hope's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

New Hope Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

New Hope Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.98 2.09 2.49 4.63 6.05

New Hope Semi-Annual Data
Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 4.63 - 6.05 -

Competitive Comparison of New Hope's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, New Hope's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


New Hope's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, New Hope's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where New Hope's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



New Hope Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get New Hope's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €318.54.

New Hope's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jul23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.26395753773*318.53728571429+1536.987*0.8)/916.865
=6.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


New Hope  (FRA:OD8) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

New Hope's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.731/6.2966651771114
=0.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


New Hope Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of New Hope's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


New Hope (FRA:OD8) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
175 Eagle Street, Level 16, Brisbane, QLD, AUS, 4000
New Hope Corporation is an Australian thermal coal miner. It has two operating mines: the 100%-owned New Acland coal mine in Queensland and its 80%-owned Bengalla coal mine in New South Wales. The company should produce around 13 million metric tons of equity salable thermal coal annually from fiscal 2027, up from around 8 million in fiscal 2023, driven by the construction and ramp up of New Acland Stage 3. The vast majority of New Hope's production is sold into seaborne thermal coal export markets. Reserves at New Acland and Bengalla are sufficient to support multidecade mine lives. New Hope also has significant undeveloped coal resources in Queensland, as well as a 15% holding in the Malabar-Maxwell metallurgical coal mine, which began production in 2023.

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