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Kewpie (FRA:QPJ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €13.82 (As of Jun. 17, 2024)


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What is Kewpie Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-17), Kewpie's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €13.82. The stock price of Kewpie is €18.40. Therefore, Kewpie's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kewpie's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:QPJ' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.99   Med: 1.62   Max: 11.08
Current: 1.33

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Kewpie was 11.08. The lowest was 0.99. And the median was 1.62.

FRA:QPJ's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
57.06% of 1246 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.13 vs FRA:QPJ: 1.33

Kewpie Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kewpie's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kewpie Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Kewpie Annual Data
Trend Nov14 Nov15 Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.10 14.27 16.14 16.36 14.70

Kewpie Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.53 10.98 10.41 14.70 -

Competitive Comparison of Kewpie's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Kewpie's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kewpie's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Kewpie's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kewpie's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Kewpie Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Kewpie's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €85.08.

Kewpie's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Nov23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*85.077142857143+1740.123*0.8)/139.003
=15.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kewpie  (FRA:QPJ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Kewpie's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=18.40/15.841835879658
=1.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kewpie Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Kewpie's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Kewpie (FRA:QPJ) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4-13, Shibuya 1-chome, Shibuya-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 150-0002
Kewpie Corp is a Japanese packaged-food company. Its business categories are condiments products, egg products, delicatessen products, processed foods, and fine chemical products. Through these business segments, the company offers dressing, vinegar, mayonnaise, liquid egg, frozen egg, rice balls, jams, pasta sauces, sweetcorn, baby food, and hyaluronic acid. The company has its own transportation and warehousing operations. Kewpie has operations in Japan and overseas in China, the United States, and Southeast Asia.

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