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Takeda Pharmaceutical Co (FRA:TKDA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €22.18 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-12-11), Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €22.18. The stock price of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co is €12.80. Therefore, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:TKDA' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.58   Med: 1.12   Max: 2.27
Current: 0.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co was 2.27. The lowest was 0.58. And the median was 1.12.

FRA:TKDA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
91.13% of 609 companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry
Industry Median: 1.76 vs FRA:TKDA: 0.58

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.85 16.89 20.02 20.86 20.07

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.97 19.15 20.07 20.45 22.24

Competitive Comparison of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €3,810.81.

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*3810.80944+43619.621*0.8)/3219.073
=22.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Takeda Pharmaceutical Co  (FRA:TKDA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=12.80/22.110695387778
=0.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Business Description

Address
1-1, Nihonbashi-Honcho 2-Chome, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-8668
Takeda Pharmaceutical is Japan's largest pharmaceutical company, with revenue of JPY 4.3 trillion in fiscal 2023. The company's five core therapeutic areas are oncology, gastroenterology, neuroscience, rare diseases, and plasma-derived therapies, which account for more than 80% of revenue. Its geographic footprint is well diversified, with 50% derived from the US, 20% from Japan, 20% from Europe and Canada.

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Headlines

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