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GreenTree Hospitality Group (GreenTree Hospitality Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $4.60 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is GreenTree Hospitality Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-30), GreenTree Hospitality Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.60. The stock price of GreenTree Hospitality Group is $3.20. Therefore, GreenTree Hospitality Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for GreenTree Hospitality Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GHG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.68   Med: 0.85   Max: 0.85
Current: 0.7

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of GreenTree Hospitality Group was 0.85. The lowest was 0.68. And the median was 0.85.

GHG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
73.4% of 564 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.235 vs GHG: 0.70

GreenTree Hospitality Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for GreenTree Hospitality Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

GreenTree Hospitality Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

GreenTree Hospitality Group Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - - 4.36 4.60

GreenTree Hospitality Group Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 4.36 4.52 4.93 4.60

Competitive Comparison of GreenTree Hospitality Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Lodging subindustry, GreenTree Hospitality Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


GreenTree Hospitality Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, GreenTree Hospitality Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where GreenTree Hospitality Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



GreenTree Hospitality Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get GreenTree Hospitality Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $32.29.

GreenTree Hospitality Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*32.292+200.454*0.8)/101.802
=4.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


GreenTree Hospitality Group  (NYSE:GHG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

GreenTree Hospitality Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.20/4.5951395231616
=0.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


GreenTree Hospitality Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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GreenTree Hospitality Group (GreenTree Hospitality Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1228 Zhongshan North Road, Putuo District, Shanghai, CHN, 200065
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd is a franchised hotel operator in China as franchised and managed hotels represent almost all the hotels in its hotel network. The hotel network of the company comprised approximately 4,059 hotels with nearly 302,497 rooms in China, covering all centrally administrated municipalities and cities throughout all provinces and autonomous regions in China. The company operates its hotels under GreenTree Inns, GreenTree Eastern, Gme, Gya and VX, GreenTree Alliance, Vatica, and others. The company operates solely in China and generates all its revenue from China itself.