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ELL Environmental Holdings (HKSE:01395) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$0.08 (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is ELL Environmental Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-28), ELL Environmental Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$0.08. The stock price of ELL Environmental Holdings is HK$0.13. Therefore, ELL Environmental Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for ELL Environmental Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01395' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.33   Med: 0.48   Max: 1.64
Current: 1.63

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of ELL Environmental Holdings was 1.64. The lowest was 0.33. And the median was 0.48.

HKSE:01395's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
50.89% of 112 companies
in the Waste Management industry
Industry Median: 1.445 vs HKSE:01395: 1.63

ELL Environmental Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for ELL Environmental Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ELL Environmental Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

ELL Environmental Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.31 0.26 0.25 0.13 0.08

ELL Environmental Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.25 - 0.13 - 0.08

Competitive Comparison of ELL Environmental Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Waste Management subindustry, ELL Environmental Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ELL Environmental Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Waste Management Industry

For the Waste Management industry and Industrials sector, ELL Environmental Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ELL Environmental Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



ELL Environmental Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get ELL Environmental Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-11.40.

ELL Environmental Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.267806016876*-11.397+284.383*0.8)/1107.300
=0.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ELL Environmental Holdings  (HKSE:01395) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

ELL Environmental Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.13/0.079192824731931
=1.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ELL Environmental Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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ELL Environmental Holdings (HKSE:01395) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
North of Huimin Road, Rugao Hengfa Municipal and Industrial Wastewater Treatment Facility, Rugao Economic and Technological Development Zone, Jiangsu, Nantong, CHN
ELL Environmental Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company principally engaged in the construction and operation of wastewater treatment facilities and biomass power generation businesses. Its businesses are mainly operated under the build-operate-transfer (BOT) model, including the design of wastewater treatment facilities, through procurement of suitable equipment and materials, the supervision of the construction as well as the ongoing operation and maintenance of the facilities throughout the long term. Its business mainly covers the treatment of municipal, industrial, and heavy metal wastewater. The wastewater treatment facilities constitute revenue for the company. Its geographical segments are Hong Kong, Indonesia, and China.
Executives
Everbest Environmental Investment Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Wealthy Sea Holdings Limited 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Chan Chun Keung 2202 Interest of your spouse
Wong Shu Ying 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Chan Kwan 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Chau On Ta Yuen 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Wong Mei Ling 2202 Interest of your spouse

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