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CSMall Group (HKSE:01815) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$0.19 (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is CSMall Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-28), CSMall Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$0.19. The stock price of CSMall Group is HK$0.27. Therefore, CSMall Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for CSMall Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01815' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.37   Med: 1.58   Max: 1.77
Current: 1.42

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of CSMall Group was 1.77. The lowest was 1.37. And the median was 1.58.

HKSE:01815's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
72.05% of 730 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.81 vs HKSE:01815: 1.42

CSMall Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for CSMall Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CSMall Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

CSMall Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.31 -0.06 -0.02 0.19

CSMall Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.06 - -0.02 - 0.19

Competitive Comparison of CSMall Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, CSMall Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CSMall Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, CSMall Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CSMall Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



CSMall Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get CSMall Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-98.66.

CSMall Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-98.663+1461.822*0.8)/1237.875
=0.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CSMall Group  (HKSE:01815) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

CSMall Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.27/0.18592438694321
=1.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CSMall Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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CSMall Group (HKSE:01815) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 99 Beili North Road, 29th Floor Shuibei International, Guangdong Province, Luohu District, Shenzhen, CHN, 518000
CSMall Group Ltd is an investment holding company that operates in the online Jewellery market. The company, along with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the business of design and sale of gold, silver, and other jewelry products. It derives revenue from different sources including Online Sales Channels and Offline Sales and Service networks. The key revenue is derived from Online Sales Channels which comprises a Self-operated online platform and Third-party online sales channels. It has two segments New Jewellery Retail segment and the Fresh Food Retail segment. Its geographical segments are PRC and Hong Kong, of which nearly all of its is generated from the PRC.
Executives
Xue Meiqi 2101 Beneficial owner
Lin Ting 2101 Beneficial owner
China Silver Group Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Yao Runxiong 2101 Beneficial owner

CSMall Group (HKSE:01815) Headlines

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