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Jaguar Health (Jaguar Health) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-3.37 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Jaguar Health Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-01), Jaguar Health's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-3.37. The stock price of Jaguar Health is $0.225. Therefore, Jaguar Health's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jaguar Health's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

JAGX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.31
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Jaguar Health Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Jaguar Health's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Jaguar Health Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Jaguar Health Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1,942.33 -283.35 -259.39 -97.49 -3.37

Jaguar Health Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -97.49 -42.47 -7.96 -11.75 -3.37

Competitive Comparison of Jaguar Health's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Jaguar Health's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jaguar Health's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Jaguar Health's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jaguar Health's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Jaguar Health Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Jaguar Health's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-26.42.

Jaguar Health's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-26.42016+4.961*0.8)/73.413
=-3.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Jaguar Health  (NAS:JAGX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Jaguar Health's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.225/-3.3721604133007
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Jaguar Health Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Jaguar Health's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Jaguar Health (Jaguar Health) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
200 Pine Street, Suite 400, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94104
Jaguar Health Inc is a commercial-stage pharmaceuticals company focused on developing novel, plant-based, non-opioid, and sustainably derived prescription medicines for people and animals with GI distress, specifically chronic, debilitating diarrhea. Its product Mytesi is a novel, first-in-class anti-secretory agent which has a basic normalizing effect locally on the gut, and this mechanism of action has the potential to benefit multiple disorders. It has two reportable segments-human health and animal health. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Human Health segment.
Executives
Anula Jayasuriya director 5150 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE #A-32, LOS ALTOS CA 94022
Pravin R Chaturvedi officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O JAGUAR HEALTH INC., 200 PINE STREET, SUITE 400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Lisa A Conte director, officer: CEO & President 213 EAST GRAND AVENUE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Carol R. Lizak officer: Chief Accounting Officer 201 MISSION STREET, SUITE 2375, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
James J Bochnowski director C/O DELPHI VENTURES, 160 BOVET RD, SUITE 408, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Jonathan S. Wolin officer: Chief of Staff, CCO & GC 201 MISSION STREET, SUITE 2375, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Jonathan B. Siegel director C/O KINGDON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C., 152 WEST 57TH STREET, 50TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Bryan Ezralow 1994 Trust Dated December 22, 1994 10 percent owner 23622 CALABASAS ROAD, SUITE 200, CALABASAS CA 91302
Bryan Ezralow 10 percent owner THE EZRALOW CO, LLC, 23622 CALABASAS ROAD, SUITE 200, CALABASAS CA 91302-1549
Nantucket Investments Ltd 10 percent owner PO BOX 282, REGENCY COURT, GLATEGNY ESPLANADE, ST PETER PORT Y7 GY1 3RH
Jonathan M Glaser 10 percent owner 11601 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 2180, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Murray David Macnaughtan director C/O JAGUAR HEALTH, INC., 201 MISSION STREET, SUITE 2375, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Greg J Divis director 10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15
Jeffery C. Johnson director C/O SAGARD CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P., 280 PARK AVENUE, 3F WEST, STAMFORD CT 06901
Sagard Capital Partners, L.p. 10 percent owner 280 PARK AVENUE, 3RD FLOOR WEST, NEW YORK NY 10017

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