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DS Smith (LSE:SMDS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : £4.52 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is DS Smith Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-04), DS Smith's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £4.52. The stock price of DS Smith is £3.616. Therefore, DS Smith's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for DS Smith's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:SMDS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.69   Med: 1.23   Max: 1.95
Current: 0.8

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of DS Smith was 1.95. The lowest was 0.69. And the median was 1.23.

LSE:SMDS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
57.59% of 290 companies
in the Packaging & Containers industry
Industry Median: 0.985 vs LSE:SMDS: 0.80

DS Smith Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for DS Smith's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

DS Smith Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

DS Smith Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.28 3.37 3.79 4.38 4.52

DS Smith Semi-Annual Data
Apr14 Oct14 Apr15 Oct15 Apr16 Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 4.38 - 4.52 -

Competitive Comparison of DS Smith's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, DS Smith's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DS Smith's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, DS Smith's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DS Smith's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



DS Smith Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get DS Smith's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = £304.43.

DS Smith's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Apr23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.8522006035458*304.42857142857+4084*0.8)/1386.000
=4.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


DS Smith  (LSE:SMDS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

DS Smith's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.616/4.5212780340297
=0.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


DS Smith Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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DS Smith (LSE:SMDS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 Paddington Square, Level 3, London, GBR, W2 1DL
DS Smith PLC manufactures and sells packaging and packaging-related products. The company produces corrugated boards made from recycled paper materials. The firm organizes itself into four segments. The segments are based on geography: U.K., Western Europe, DCH and Northern Europe, and Central Europe and Italy. The Western Europe and Central Europe and Italy segments generate more revenue than any other segment.

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