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Monex Group (Monex Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $0.26 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Monex Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-16), Monex Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.26. The stock price of Monex Group is $5.01. Therefore, Monex Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 19.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Monex Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MNXBF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.42   Med: 6.9   Max: 35.08
Current: 19.27

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Monex Group was 35.08. The lowest was 0.42. And the median was 6.90.

MNXBF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
96.97% of 528 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 1.065 vs MNXBF: 19.27

Monex Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Monex Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Monex Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Monex Group Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.44 1.14 3.52 -2.81 0.27

Monex Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.81 1.22 -3.70 -0.23 0.27

Competitive Comparison of Monex Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Monex Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Monex Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Monex Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Monex Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Monex Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Monex Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-47.67.

Monex Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.613375984848*-47.6744+879.143*0.8)/257.564
=0.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Monex Group  (OTCPK:MNXBF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Monex Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5.01/0.58103488044898
=8.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Monex Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Monex Group (Monex Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2-4-1, Kojimachi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 102-0083
Monex Group Inc is functional in the financial services domain of Japan. Its core business is that of securities trading. Operating in the capital markets industry, the company renders such services as online securities business, the foreign exchange (FX) trading business, as well as the provision of merger and acquisition (M&A) advisory services. Most of its revenue is in the form of brokerage derived from its capital market activities majorly in Japan and on a minor scale in the United States and China.