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Ardova (NSA:ARDOVA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ₦0.00 (As of Jun. 16, 2024)


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What is Ardova Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-16), Ardova's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₦0.00. The stock price of Ardova is ₦16.50. Therefore, Ardova's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ardova's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NSA:ARDOVA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 0.8
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Ardova Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ardova's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ardova Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ardova Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -37.21 -32.45 -34.53 33.04 -11.44

Ardova Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.78 36.35 -11.44 -16.90 -24.11

Competitive Comparison of Ardova's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Ardova's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ardova's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Ardova's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ardova's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Ardova Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ardova's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₦-3,352.09.

Ardova's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.437096484727*-3352.0872+12775.735*0.8)/1305.030
=-24.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ardova  (NSA:ARDOVA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ardova's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=16.50/-24.114115331922
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ardova Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ardova's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ardova (NSA:ARDOVA) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Ardova PLC (NSA:ARDOVA) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1, AP/Conoil Road, Ijora-Apapa, Lagos, NGA
Ardova PLC integrated energy company in Nigeria involved in the marketing of petroleum products. The company also provides aircraft refueling operations at its Aviation Joint User's hydrants in Ikeja and Joint Aviation depots in Abuja, Port Harcourt, and Kano as a provider of aviation fuel for local and international airlines. It also procures and markets Liquefied Petroleum Gas. It manufactures and distributes a wide range of quality lubricants, which include Super V, Visco 2000, and Diesel Motor Oil from its lubricating oil blending plant at its Apapa terminal in Lagos. The company is the sole authorized distributor of Shell Engine Oils and Lubricants for the Nigerian market. the company is also into renewable energy.

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