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Atul Auto (NSE:ATULAUTO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ₹25.45 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Atul Auto Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-15), Atul Auto's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₹25.45. The stock price of Atul Auto is ₹561.55. Therefore, Atul Auto's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 22.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Atul Auto's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:ATULAUTO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.97   Med: 2.4   Max: 22.12
Current: 22.06

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Atul Auto was 22.12. The lowest was 0.97. And the median was 2.40.

NSE:ATULAUTO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
98.44% of 896 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.08 vs NSE:ATULAUTO: 22.06

Atul Auto Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Atul Auto's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Atul Auto Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Atul Auto Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 173.66 142.93 129.19 15.11 25.57

Atul Auto Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 25.57 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Atul Auto's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Atul Auto's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Atul Auto's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Atul Auto's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Atul Auto's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Atul Auto Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Atul Auto's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₹-233.54.

Atul Auto's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-233.53571428571+3481.4*0.8)/22.028
=25.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Atul Auto  (NSE:ATULAUTO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Atul Auto's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=561.55/25.502900389741
=22.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Atul Auto Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Atul Auto (NSE:ATULAUTO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
National Highway 8-B, Survey No. 86, Near Microwave Tower, Plot No. 1 - 4, Shapar (Veraval), Rajkot District, Rajkot, GJ, IND, 360024
Atul Auto Ltd is an Indian-based automobile manufacturing company. It manufactures and sells three-wheeled commercial automobiles in the domestic and overseas markets. The product portfolio of the company includes Atul Shakti, Atul Gem, Atul Smart, Atul Gemini, Atul RIK, and Atul Elite. The company has a presence in India as well as exports its products internationally. The majority of the revenue is earned from the domestic market. It operates in the following segment namely Automotive Vehicles and Parts and Non-Banking Financial Business.

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