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Dwarikesh Sugar Industries (NSE:DWARKESH) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ₹81.17 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-26), Dwarikesh Sugar Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₹81.17. The stock price of Dwarikesh Sugar Industries is ₹71.10. Therefore, Dwarikesh Sugar Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dwarikesh Sugar Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:DWARKESH' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.29   Med: 0.53   Max: 1.68
Current: 0.88

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Dwarikesh Sugar Industries was 1.68. The lowest was 0.29. And the median was 0.53.

NSE:DWARKESH's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
62.75% of 1243 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.15 vs NSE:DWARKESH: 0.88

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dwarikesh Sugar Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Annual Data
Trend Sep13 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 40.84 70.42 74.63 90.09 80.85

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 90.09 - - - 80.85

Competitive Comparison of Dwarikesh Sugar Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Confectioners subindustry, Dwarikesh Sugar Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dwarikesh Sugar Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dwarikesh Sugar Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dwarikesh Sugar Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Dwarikesh Sugar Industries's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₹698.73.

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.352161231452*698.72985714286+8220.817*0.8)/188.102
=80.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Dwarikesh Sugar Industries  (NSE:DWARKESH) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=71.10/80.84697373052
=0.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Dwarikesh Sugar Industries (NSE:DWARKESH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
511, Maker Chambers V, 221, Nariman Point, Mumbai, MH, IND, 400 021
Dwarikesh Sugar Industries Ltd is a multi-faceted, diversified industrial group engaged in the manufacture of the finest grains of sugar, as well as allied products. The business activity of the group functions through Sugar, Co-generation, and Distillery segments. The product portfolio of the group includes Sugar, ethanol, and Power products. Geographically, it derives revenue from India and the exports made to other countries.

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