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Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co (SZSE:000528) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ¥8.70 (As of Jun. 19, 2024)


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What is Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-19), Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ¥8.70. The stock price of Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co is ¥11.51. Therefore, Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:000528' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.45   Med: 0.8   Max: 3.48
Current: 1.32

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co was 3.48. The lowest was 0.45. And the median was 0.80.

SZSE:000528's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
54.55% of 154 companies
in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry
Industry Median: 1.175 vs SZSE:000528: 1.32

Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.99 12.50 13.04 10.62 8.96

Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.56 8.41 8.32 8.96 8.70

Competitive Comparison of Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ¥677.66.

Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*677.6648+17026.272*0.8)/2306.132
=8.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co  (SZSE:000528) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=11.51/8.7040224758206
=1.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co (SZSE:000528) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 1 Liutai Road, Liuzhou, Guangxi, CHN, 545007
Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co Ltd is a construction equipment manufacturer that offers services to construction equipment owners. The products of the company include forklift, wheel loader, crawler excavator, wheel excavator, roller, motor grader, bulldozer, crane, concrete, mining truck, and skid steer loader.
Executives
Yu Chuan Fen Executives
Wen Wu Directors, executives
Yuan Shi Guo Executives
Huang Hai Bo Director
Huang Xiang Quan Executives
Luo Guo Bing Executives
Huang Tie Zhu Executives
Ceng Guang An Directors, executives
Huang Hua Lin Secretary Dong
Zheng Yu Huang Independent director
Cai Deng Sheng Supervisors
Ding Yi Bin Director
Tan Yong Supervisors
Yu Ya Jun Executives
Huang Min Executives

Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co (SZSE:000528) Headlines

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