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Caissa Tosun Development Co (SZSE:000796) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ¥0.28 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Caissa Tosun Development Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-25), Caissa Tosun Development Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ¥0.28. The stock price of Caissa Tosun Development Co is ¥3.44. Therefore, Caissa Tosun Development Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 12.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Caissa Tosun Development Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:000796' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.1   Med: 4.57   Max: 20.14
Current: 12.29

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Caissa Tosun Development Co was 20.14. The lowest was 1.10. And the median was 4.57.

SZSE:000796's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
95.26% of 570 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.145 vs SZSE:000796: 12.29

Caissa Tosun Development Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Caissa Tosun Development Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Caissa Tosun Development Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Caissa Tosun Development Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.02 2.10 1.21 -0.56 0.75

Caissa Tosun Development Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.96 -1.67 -2.00 0.75 0.28

Competitive Comparison of Caissa Tosun Development Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Travel Services subindustry, Caissa Tosun Development Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caissa Tosun Development Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Caissa Tosun Development Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caissa Tosun Development Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Caissa Tosun Development Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Caissa Tosun Development Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ¥-37.62.

Caissa Tosun Development Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-37.6216+999.029*0.8)/1552.562
=0.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Caissa Tosun Development Co  (SZSE:000796) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Caissa Tosun Development Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.44/0.28408033972057
=12.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Caissa Tosun Development Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Caissa Tosun Development Co (SZSE:000796) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No.155 Jinger Road, Weibin District, Shaanxi, Baoji, CHN, 721000
Caissa Tosun Development Co Ltd is engaged in tourism industry. The company's services include group tours, domestic and peripheral tours, cruise, visa, air tickets, hotel bookings, theme tours, among others.
Executives
Nang Qi Directors, executives
Ma Yi Wen Director
Zheng Dan Supervisors
Zhang Ling Directors, executives
Gao Zhi Ping Supervisors
Zhang Wei Supervisors
Liu Jiang Tao Directors, executives
Li Wei Dong Supervisors
Liu Zhi Qiang Director
Wei Cun Gong Director
Ma Zhang Zhao Supervisors
Li Zhang Ming Supervisors

Caissa Tosun Development Co (SZSE:000796) Headlines

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