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Track Group (Track Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-0.36 (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is Track Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-17), Track Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.36. The stock price of Track Group is $0.27165. Therefore, Track Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Track Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Track Group was 8.09. The lowest was 2.31. And the median was 5.52.

TRCK's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 1.44
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Track Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Track Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Track Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Track Group Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.05 -0.33 0.49 -0.18 -0.31

Track Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.29 -0.29 -0.31 -0.36 -

Competitive Comparison of Track Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Scientific & Technical Instruments subindustry, Track Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Track Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Track Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Track Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Track Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Track Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $0.77.

Track Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*0.77296+-10.536/0.8)/11.864
=-0.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Track Group  (OTCPK:TRCK) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Track Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.27165/-0.4898136404571
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Track Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Track Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Track Group (Track Group) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
200 E. 5th Avenue, Suite 100, Naperville, IL, USA, 60563
Track Group Inc designs, manufactures, and markets location-tracking devices and develops and sells a variety of related software, services, accessories, networking solutions, and monitoring applications. Its products and services include ReliAlert XC4, TrackerPAL, TrackerPAL Mobile, a portfolio of software applications including predictive analytics, a device-agnostic operating system, and a variety of accessories, services, and support offerings. The company sells products across the world through its direct sales team and resellers. It sells to government customers on federal, state, and local levels in the United States and to members of the Ministry of Justice internationally. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Conrent Invest S.a. 10 percent owner 19 RUE DE BITBOURG, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-1273
Matthew J. Swando officer: CHIEF REVENUE OFFICER C/O TRACK GROUP, INC., 200 E 5TH AVE, SUITE 100, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Karim Sehnaoui director 57 ROUTE DE CHENE, GENEVA V8 1208
Derek Cassell officer: Chief Executive Officer 200 E. 5TH AVE., SUITE 100, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Van Daele Dirk Karel director BERGSTRASSE 6, HORGEN V8 CH8810
Peter K Poli officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 1215 W. LAKEVIEW COURT, ROMEOVILLE IL 60446
Ray O Johnson director C/O RIGETTI & CO., INC., 775 HEINZ AVENUE, BERKELEY CA 94710
Charles Eric Rosenblum director 405 SOUTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 700, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111
Karen M Macleod director C/O TRACK GROUP, INC., 200 E 5TH AVENUE STE 100, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
John R Merrill officer: Chief Financial Officer 4222 HILLTOP DRIVE, PARK CITY UT 84098
Sapinda Asia Ltd 10 percent owner 8TH FLOOR, HANG SENG BANK BUILDING, 200 HENNESSEY ROAD, WANCHAI, HONG KONG K3 00000
Safety Invest S.a. 10 percent owner 19 RUE DE BITBOURG, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-1273
Winfried Kunz director AM GASTEIG 9, TRAUBING 2M 82327
Guy Dubois director, 10 percent owner C/O POLLEKE III, SEESTRASSE 227, KILCHBERG V8 CH8802
Lars Windhorst 10 percent owner C/O SAPINDA ASIA LTD, RMS 803-4, 8TH FLR, HANG SENG WANCHAI BLDG, 200 HENNESY ROAD, WANCHAI K3 999077

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