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Caica Digital (TSE:2315) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円-58.75 (As of May. 29, 2024)


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What is Caica Digital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-29), Caica Digital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円-58.75. The stock price of Caica Digital is 円66.00. Therefore, Caica Digital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Caica Digital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Caica Digital was 68.48. The lowest was 4.57. And the median was 18.92.

TSE:2315's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Software industry.
Industry Median: 1.64
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Caica Digital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Caica Digital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Caica Digital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Caica Digital Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -243.71 -209.65 47.47 -26.62 -58.75

Caica Digital Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - -58.75 -

Competitive Comparison of Caica Digital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Caica Digital's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caica Digital's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Caica Digital's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caica Digital's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Caica Digital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Caica Digital's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円-943.36.

Caica Digital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Oct23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-943.36428571429+2179.843*0.8)/123.189
=-58.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Caica Digital  (TSE:2315) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Caica Digital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=66.00/-58.749444212358
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Caica Digital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Caica Digital (TSE:2315) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Cross Air Tower, 1-5-1 Ohashi, Meguro-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 153-0044
Caica Digital Inc is a Japanese company engaged in providing information services such as system development, offshore development, infrastructure, and provision of system-related consulting and maintenance support services. CAICA develops systems that include business package software development and distribution for information service providers. It offers industry solutions for banks, insurance, securities, department stores, convenience stores and transportation industry.

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