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Arakawa Chemical Industries (TSE:4968) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円1,716.59 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Arakawa Chemical Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-25), Arakawa Chemical Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円1,716.59. The stock price of Arakawa Chemical Industries is 円1096.00. Therefore, Arakawa Chemical Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arakawa Chemical Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4968' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.41   Med: 0.47   Max: 0.78
Current: 0.64

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Arakawa Chemical Industries was 0.78. The lowest was 0.41. And the median was 0.47.

TSE:4968's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
77.66% of 1079 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.24 vs TSE:4968: 0.64

Arakawa Chemical Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Arakawa Chemical Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Arakawa Chemical Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Arakawa Chemical Industries Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3,288.95 2,856.61 2,898.22 2,583.08 1,716.59

Arakawa Chemical Industries Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1,716.59 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Arakawa Chemical Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Arakawa Chemical Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arakawa Chemical Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Arakawa Chemical Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arakawa Chemical Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Arakawa Chemical Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Arakawa Chemical Industries's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円-967.43.

Arakawa Chemical Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-967.42857142857+54082*0.8)/19.839
=1,716.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Arakawa Chemical Industries  (TSE:4968) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Arakawa Chemical Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1096.00/1716.5855061252
=0.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Arakawa Chemical Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Arakawa Chemical Industries (TSE:4968) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 3, No. 1, Hirano-cho, Chuo-ku, Osaka, JPN, 541-0046
Arakawa Chemical Industries Ltd is engaged in the production and sales of paper chemicals, resins for printing inks, resins for adhesives/adhesives, and intermediates for electronic materials. It manufactures various paper chemicals including water-repellents, sizing agents, paper surface improving agents, and paper strengthening, and other types of papers. It also provides printing inks for offset printing; book (magazine)-gravures and food-package-gravures. It also offers electronic materials, including rosins for use as raw material of chemicals and electronic components.

Arakawa Chemical Industries (TSE:4968) Headlines

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