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Luca Mining (TSXV:LUCA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : C$-0.13 (As of Jun. 16, 2024)


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What is Luca Mining Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-16), Luca Mining's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is C$-0.13. The stock price of Luca Mining is C$0.47. Therefore, Luca Mining's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Luca Mining's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Luca Mining was 1.02. The lowest was 0.33. And the median was 0.68.

TSXV:LUCA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Metals & Mining industry.
Industry Median: 1.3
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Luca Mining Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Luca Mining's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Luca Mining Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Luca Mining Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.42 -3.48 -0.86 -1.40 -0.28

Luca Mining Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.82 -0.26 -0.19 -0.28 -0.13

Competitive Comparison of Luca Mining's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Luca Mining's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Luca Mining's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Luca Mining's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Luca Mining's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Luca Mining Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Luca Mining's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = C$-7.96.

Luca Mining's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-7.95616+68.001*0.8)/161.566
=-0.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Luca Mining  (TSXV:LUCA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Luca Mining's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.47/-0.13211096736783
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Luca Mining Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Luca Mining (TSXV:LUCA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1111 Melville Street, Suite 1000, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6E 3V6
Luca Mining Corp is a Canadian-based mining company engages s the production of base metals and the acquisition, exploration and development of resource properties in Mexico. Luca Mining is currently in commercial production at its 100% owned Campo Morado Mine, processing approximately 2,000 tons per day through the mine milling facilities producing zinc and copper concentrates with gold, silver, and lead as by-products. In addition, Luca owns a 100% interest in the Tahuehueto Project.
Executives
Ramon Perez Senior Officer

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