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Polska Grupa Energetyczna (WAR:PGE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : zł17.05 (As of Jun. 18, 2024)


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What is Polska Grupa Energetyczna Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-18), Polska Grupa Energetyczna's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is zł17.05. The stock price of Polska Grupa Energetyczna is zł6.768. Therefore, Polska Grupa Energetyczna's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Polska Grupa Energetyczna's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:PGE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2   Med: 0.44   Max: 0.76
Current: 0.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Polska Grupa Energetyczna was 0.76. The lowest was 0.20. And the median was 0.44.

WAR:PGE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
84.53% of 375 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 1.05 vs WAR:PGE: 0.40

Polska Grupa Energetyczna Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Polska Grupa Energetyczna's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Polska Grupa Energetyczna Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Polska Grupa Energetyczna Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.47 20.02 25.43 30.37 22.15

Polska Grupa Energetyczna Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.78 28.67 35.67 22.15 17.05

Competitive Comparison of Polska Grupa Energetyczna's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Polska Grupa Energetyczna's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Polska Grupa Energetyczna's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Polska Grupa Energetyczna's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Polska Grupa Energetyczna's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Polska Grupa Energetyczna Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Polska Grupa Energetyczna's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = zł-37.76.

Polska Grupa Energetyczna's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*-37.76+48289*0.8)/2232.500
=17.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Polska Grupa Energetyczna  (WAR:PGE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Polska Grupa Energetyczna's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=6.768/17.052625402462
=0.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Polska Grupa Energetyczna Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Polska Grupa Energetyczna (WAR:PGE) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Aleja Krasnicka 27, Warsaw, POL, 20-718
Polska Grupa Energetyczna SA is a Polish electric utility company of which the Polish State Treasury is the majority shareholder. The vast majority of Polska Grupa's revenue comes, collectively, from its conventional generation business, which mines coal and controls power plant operations; its distribution business, which distributes electricity throughout Poland; and its supply business, which purchases and sells electricity and heat. Polska Grupa controls a portfolio of lignite, coal, gas, biomass, hydro, and wind power plants. most of the company's power production is derived from its lignite-fired and coal-fired facilities. Almost all of Polska Grupa's revenue comes from the Polish market, and it is one of the largest energy producers in the country.

Polska Grupa Energetyczna (WAR:PGE) Headlines

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