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Kapsch TrafficCom AG (WBO:KTCG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €8.61 (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Kapsch TrafficCom AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-24), Kapsch TrafficCom AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €8.61. The stock price of Kapsch TrafficCom AG is €8.82. Therefore, Kapsch TrafficCom AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kapsch TrafficCom AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

WBO:KTCG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.38   Med: 1.06   Max: 3.35
Current: 1.02

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Kapsch TrafficCom AG was 3.35. The lowest was 0.38. And the median was 1.06.

WBO:KTCG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
70.67% of 1275 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.62 vs WBO:KTCG: 1.02

Kapsch TrafficCom AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kapsch TrafficCom AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kapsch TrafficCom AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Kapsch TrafficCom AG Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 45.11 31.41 26.09 20.52 8.61

Kapsch TrafficCom AG Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 20.52 - 8.61 -

Competitive Comparison of Kapsch TrafficCom AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Kapsch TrafficCom AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kapsch TrafficCom AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Kapsch TrafficCom AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kapsch TrafficCom AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Kapsch TrafficCom AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Kapsch TrafficCom AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €7.03.

Kapsch TrafficCom AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*7.0321428571429+56.3*0.8)/13.000
=8.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kapsch TrafficCom AG  (WBO:KTCG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Kapsch TrafficCom AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=8.82/8.6144978825425
=1.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kapsch TrafficCom AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Kapsch TrafficCom AG (WBO:KTCG) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Am Europlatz 2, Vienna, AUT, 1120
Kapsch TrafficCom AG is an Austria-based company which provides intelligent transportation systems (ITS). The company's operating segment includes Tolling and Traffic Management. It generates maximum revenue from the Tolling segment. Tolling segment comprises activities relating to the implementation and the technical and commercial operation of toll collection systems. Traffic Management segment primarily comprises activities relating to the implementation and operation of systems and solutions for controlling traffic and mobility behavior, as well as the relating components business. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from Europe, Middle East, Africa and also has presence in Austria, Americas, and Asia-Pacific.

Kapsch TrafficCom AG (WBO:KTCG) Headlines

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