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As of today (2024-04-27), Barnwell Industries's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-8.24.
Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.
Barnwell Industries's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.
Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Barnwell Industries is N/A.
The historical rank and industry rank for Barnwell Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Barnwell Industries was 3.43. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 1.49.
The historical data trend for Barnwell Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Barnwell Industries Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Sep14 | Sep15 | Sep16 | Sep17 | Sep18 | Sep19 | Sep20 | Sep21 | Sep22 | Sep23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | - | - | - | - | - |
Barnwell Industries Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar19 | Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | |
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | - | - | - | - | - |
For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Barnwell Industries's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Barnwell Industries's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Barnwell Industries's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.
Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 19.10%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
Barnwell Industries's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past
3 years was 19.10%,
which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 19.10%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10
6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-0.280.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.
All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.
Barnwell Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) | = | EPS without NRI | * | {[(1+g1)/(1+d) | + | (1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2 | + | ... | + | (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10] |
+ | (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10 | * | [(1+g2)/(1+d) | + | (1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2 | + | ... | + | (1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]} |
set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.191)/(1+0.11) = 1.072972972973
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) | = | EPS without NRI | * | {[x | + | x^2 | + | ... | + | x^10] | + | x^10 | * | [y | + | y^2 | + | ... | + | y^10]} |
= | EPS without NRI | * | [x | * | (1-x^10) | / | (1-x) | + | x^10 | * | y | * | (1-y^10) | / | (1-y)] | |||||
= | -0.280 | * | 29.4181 | |||||||||||||||||
= | -8.24 |
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) | = | (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) | - | Current Price) | / | Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) |
= | (-8.24 | - | 2.95) | / | -8.24 | |
= | N/A |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Barnwell Industries (AMEX:BRN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation
Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.
Be Aware
What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:
1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings powerYou can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Barnwell Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Joshua Horowitz | director | 72-38 113TH STREET, APARTMENT 3L, FOREST HILLS NY 11375 |
Ned L Sherwood | 10 percent owner | 54 MORRIS LN, SCARSDALE NY 10583 |
Ned L. Sherwood Revocable Trust | 10 percent owner | 151 TERRAPIN POINT, VERO BEACH FL 32963 |
Mrmp Managers Llc | 10 percent owner | C/O SOUTH DAKOTA TRUST COMPANY LLC, 201 SOUTH PHILIPS AVENUE, STE 200, SIOUX FALLS SD 57104-6449 |
Alexander C Kinzler | director, officer: President and COO | 1100 ALAKEA STREET, SUITE 2900, HONOLULU HI 96813 |
Laurance Elliot Narbut | director | 3324 WOODSIDE ROAD, WOODSIDE CA 94062 |
Douglas N Woodrum | director | C/O BARNWELL INDUSTRIES, INC., 1100 ALAKEA STREET, SUITE 2900, HONOLULU HI 96813 |
Francis J. Kelly | director | 10402 PATRICIAN WOODS COURT, GREAT FALLS VA 22066 |
Joseph Eugene Magaro | 10 percent owner | 401 RIVERSVILLE ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06831 |
O'farrell Colin R. | director | 3465 N. PINES WAY, SUITE 104-PMB 22, WILSON WY 83014 |
Peter J. O'malley | director | 150 TABLE ROCK ROAD, ALTA WY 83414 |
Russell M Gifford | director, officer: EVP,CFO, Treasurer | 1100 ALAKEA STREET, SUITE 2900, HONOLULU HI 96813 |
Kenneth S Grossman | director | 18 NORFOLK RD, GREAT NECK NY 11020 |
Philip James Mcpherson | director | 417 31ST STREET, UNIT A, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92663 |
Bradley M Tirpak | director | 50 ORCHARD ST., NEW YORK NY 10002 |
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