GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Packaging & Containers » DSS Inc (AMEX:DSS) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

DSS (DSS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-89.75 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1997. Start your Free Trial

What is DSS Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-26), DSS's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-89.75.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

DSS's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for DSS is N/A.

The industry rank for DSS's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

DSS's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Packaging & Containers industry.
Industry Median: 0.88
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

DSS Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for DSS's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

DSS Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

DSS Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

DSS Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of DSS's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, DSS's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DSS's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, DSS's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DSS's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



DSS Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.69%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> DSS's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 54.50%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-2.872.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

DSS's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-2.872*31.2501
=-89.75

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-89.75-1.755)/-89.75
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


DSS  (AMEX:DSS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


DSS Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of DSS's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


DSS (DSS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
275 Wiregrass Pkwy, Henrietta, NY, USA, 14586
DSS Inc is operating a business focused on four segments namely Direct Marketing/Online Sales Group; Packaging; Digital Group; and IP Technology. It derives a majority of revenue from the Packaging segment that produces custom consumer packaging serving clients in the pharmaceutical, nutraceutical, beverage, specialty foods, photo packaging, and direct marketing industries, among others. It also provides active and intelligent packaging and document security printing services for end-user customers along with technical support for its technology licensees. The division produces a wide array of printed materials, such as folding cartons and paperboard packaging, security paper, vital records, and prescription paper, among others.
Executives
Wu William Wai Leung director C/O DOCUMENT SECURITY SYSTEMS, INC., 200 CANAL VIEW BLVD., SUITE 300, ROCHESTER NY 14624
Chan Heng Fai Ambrose director 2601 INSLAND PLACE TOWER, 510 KINGS RD N POINT, HONG KONG K3 999999999
Lim Sheng Hon Danny director 4800 MONTGOMERY LANE, SUITE 210, BETHESDA MD 20814
Alset International Ltd 10 percent owner 10 WINSTEDT ROAD #02-02, SINGAPORE U0 227977
Hiu Pan Wong director RM F, 47/F, TOWER 6, PARK AVENUE,, 18 HOI TING ROAD, TAI KOK TUSI, KOWLOON, HONG KONG F4 999077
Shui Yeung Wong director 4800 MONTGOMERY LANE, SUITE 210, BETHESDA MD 20814
Alset Ehome International Inc. 10 percent owner 4800 MONTGOMERY LANE, SUITE 210, BETHESDA MD 20814
Todd D Macko officer: Interim CFO C/O 200 CANAL VIEW BLVD., SUITE 104, ROCHESTER NY 14623
Tung Moe Chan director 1601 BLAKE ST, SUITE 310, DENVER CO 80202
Global Biomedical Pte. Ltd. 10 percent owner 7 TEMASEK BOULEVARD #29-01B, SUNTEC TOWER ONE, SINGAPORE U0 038987
Sassuan (samson) Lee director 200 CANAL VIEW BLVD., SUITE 300, ROCHESTER NY 14623
Jose Escudero director 200 CANAL VIEW BOULEVARD, SUITE 300, ROCHESTER NY 14623
Jason Grady officer: Chief Operating Officer 1093 CARRINGTON WAY, VICTOR NY 14564
Joseph L. Sanders director C/O DOCUMENT SECURITY SYSTEMS, INC., 28 EAST MAIN STREET, SUITE 1525, ROCHESTER NY 14614
John Thatch director C/O SHARING SERVICES, INC., 1701 COIT ROAD, SUITE 100, PLANO TX 75075

DSS (DSS) Headlines

From GuruFocus

A Duo of Falling Knives to Catch

By Alberto Abaterusso 10-22-2021