Golub Capital BDC (Golub Capital BDC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $20.81 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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Golub Capital BDC Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

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Competitive Comparison of Golub Capital BDC's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Golub Capital BDC's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

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Golub Capital BDC's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Golub Capital BDC's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Golub Capital BDC's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

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Golub Capital BDC Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Golub Capital BDC's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was -3.10%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $1.803.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Golub Capital BDC's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Golub Capital BDC  (NAS:GBDC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

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Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

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Golub Capital BDC Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Golub Capital BDC's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Predictability Rank Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Free Cash Flow Free Cash Flow per Share Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)

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Golub Capital BDC (Golub Capital BDC) Business Description

Executives

Anita R Rosenberg	director	C/O GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, INC., 150 SOUTH WACKER STREET, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Lawrence E Golub	director, officer: Chairman	555 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
David Golub	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	1125 PARK AVE. 7A, NEW YORK NY 10128
John Thomas Baily	director	919 THIRD AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Ericson Christopher Compton	officer: Chief Fin. Officer & Treasurer	C/O GOLUB CAPITAL, 200 PARK AVENUE, 25TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10166
Holder Lofton Phillip Jr	director	48 WEST 89TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10024
Joshua M Levinson	officer: Chief Compliance Officer	150 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, 8TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60606
Webster William M Iv	director	120 N LASALLE ST, SUITE 3300, CHICAGO IL 60602
Ross Teune	officer: Chief Financial Officer	150 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Ohio Strs	10 percent owner	275 E BROAD ST, COLUMBUS OH 43215
Kenneth F Bernstein	director	C/O ACADIA REALTY TRUST, 411 THEODORE FREMD AVENUE, SUITE 300, RYE NY 10580
Thomas E Lynch	director	382 GREENWICH AVE, SUITE ONE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Sean K Coleman	officer: CFO and Treasurer	C/O FRANKLIN SQUARE CAPITAL PARTNERS, CIRA CENTRE, 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 675, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Gems Fund, L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O GC ADVISORS LLC, 150 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Golub Capital Co Iv, Llc	10 percent owner	150 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606