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Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide (Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-26), Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide is N/A%.

The industry rank for Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

HOT's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Travel & Leisure industry.
Industry Median: 0.89
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Quarterly Data
Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Lodging subindustry, Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.70%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*11.5406
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-77.05)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide  (NYSE:HOT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide (Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc was incorporated in 1980 under the laws of Maryland. It operates as a hotel and leisure company. The Company conducts its hotel and leisure business both directly and through its subsidiaries. It has 1,222 properties providing approximately 354,200 rooms in approximately 100 countries and 180,400 employees under its management at its owned and managed properties, vacation ownership resorts and corporate offices. The Company manage and operate its hotel business in three separate hotel segments: the Americas, Europe, Africa and the Middle East ("EAME"), and Asia Pacific. Its vacation ownership and residential business is a separate segment. It franchises its Luxury Collection, Westin, Le Méridien, Sheraton, Four Points by Sheraton, Aloft and Element brands and generally derive licensing and other fees from franchisees based on a fixed percentage of the franchised hotel's room revenue, as well as fees for other services, including centralized reservations, loyalty program, national and international advertising and sales and marketing. The Company's brands name includes St. Regis, The Luxury Collection, W, Westin, Le Méridien, Sheraton, Four Points, Aloft, and Element. Some of its competitors are private management firms, several are national and international chains that own and operate their own hotels, as well as manage hotels for third-party owners and sell VOIs, under a variety of brands that compete directly with its brands. It is subject to taxation at the federal, state or provincial and local levels in the U.S. and various other countries and jurisdictions.
Executives
Charlene Barshefsky director
Lizanne Galbreath director LASALLE PARTNERS INC, 200 RANDOLPH DR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Kenneth S Siegel officer: CAO & General Counsel 40 STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS, 111 WESTCHESTER AVE, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Thomas B Mangas director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O ARMSTRONG WORLD INDUSTRIES, INC., 2500 COLUMBIA AVENUE, LANCASTER PA 17603
Sergio Rivera officer: President, The Americas C/O STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE,, ONE STARPOINT, STAMFORD CT 06902
Stephen R Quazzo director C/O STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE, 44 SOUTH BROADWAY, WHITE PLAINS NY 10601
Daley Clayton C Jr director C/O THE PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY,, ONE PROCTER & GAMBLE PLAZA, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Thomas E Clarke director C/O NEWELL RUBBERMAID INC, THREE GLENLAKE PKWY., ATLANTA 2Q 30328
Thomas O Ryder director C/O READERS DIGEST ASSOCITATION INC, READERS DIGEST RD., PLEASANTVILLE NY 10570
Aylwin B Lewis director 111 N. CANAL, SUITE 850, CHICAGO IL 60606
Eric Hippeau director STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE, 44 SOUTH BROADWAY, WHITE PLAINS NY 10601
Bruce W Duncan director ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4200, CHICAGO IL 60606
Adam M Aron director, officer: CEO on an interim basis AMC ENTERTAINMENT HOLDINGS, INC, 11500 ASH STREET, LEAWOOD KS 66211
Van Paasschen Frits D director, officer: President and CEO C/O STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE, 1111 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Vasant M Prabhu officer: Vice Chairman & CFO C/O SAFEWAY INC, 5918 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, PLEASANTON CA 94588

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide (Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide) Headlines