MidWestOne Financial Group (MidWestOne Financial Group) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $49.95 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is MidWestOne Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), MidWestOne Financial Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $49.95.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

MidWestOne Financial Group's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for MidWestOne Financial Group is 59.14%.

The industry rank for MidWestOne Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

MOFG's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is ranked better than
53.32% of 482 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.44 vs MOFG: 0.41

MidWestOne Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for MidWestOne Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MidWestOne Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

MidWestOne Financial Group Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

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51.24

7.00

101.74

73.04

54.21

MidWestOne Financial Group Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															73.04	66.37	70.38	54.49	54.21

Competitive Comparison of MidWestOne Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, MidWestOne Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

MidWestOne Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, MidWestOne Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MidWestOne Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

MidWestOne Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 7.30%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> MidWestOne Financial Group's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 7.30%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 7.30%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $3.726.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

MidWestOne Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.073)/(1+0.11) = 0.96666666666667
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

3.726

13.4053

49.95

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(49.95	-	20.41)	/	49.95
	=	59.14 %

MidWestOne Financial Group (NAS:MOFG) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

MidWestOne Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MidWestOne Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

MidWestOne Financial Group (MidWestOne Financial Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » MidWestOne Financial Group Inc (NAS:MOFG) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

102 South Clinton Street, Iowa City, IA, USA, 52240

Website

http://www.midwestone.com

MidWestOne Financial Group Inc is a bank holding company engaged in delivering relationship-based business and personal banking products and services. The Bank provides commercial loans, real estate loans, agricultural loans, credit card loans, and consumer loans. It also provides deposit products including demand and interest checking accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, and time deposits. The Bank also provides products and services including treasury management, Zelle, online and mobile banking, debit cards, ATMs, and safe deposit boxes. The Bank offers its products and services through its network of full-service banking offices. the Bank's investments services department offers financial planning, investment advisory, and retail securities brokerage services.

Executives

Janet E Godwin	director	102 S CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
Nathaniel J Kaeding	director	102 S CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
Ruth E Stanoch	director	102 S. CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
Charles N Reeves	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	102 S. CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
Larry D Albert	director, officer: Executive Vice President	102 S. CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
Matthew J Hayek	director	102 S CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
Tracy S Mccormick	director	102 S. CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
Jennifer Leigh Hauschildt	director	102 S CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
Kevin W Monson	director	102 S. CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
Len D Devaisher	officer: President and COO	102 S CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
David E Lindstrom	officer: EVP, Consumer Banking	102 S CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
John J Ruppel	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	102 S. CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
Charles N Funk	director, officer: President and CEO	102 S. CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
Kurt R Weise	director, officer: Executive Vice President	102 S. CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700
Douglas K True	director	102 S CLINTON STREET, P.O. BOX 1700, IOWA CITY IA 52244-1700