GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Allena Pharmaceuticals Inc (OTCPK:ALNAQ) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Allena Pharmaceuticals (Allena Pharmaceuticals) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2017. Start your Free Trial

What is Allena Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-29), Allena Pharmaceuticals's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Allena Pharmaceuticals's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Allena Pharmaceuticals is

The historical rank and industry rank for Allena Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ALNAQ's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.09
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Allena Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Allena Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Allena Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Allena Pharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - -

Allena Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Allena Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Allena Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Allena Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Allena Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Allena Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Allena Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.63%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Allena Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 1.0E-6) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Allena Pharmaceuticals  (OTCPK:ALNAQ) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Allena Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Allena Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Allena Pharmaceuticals (Allena Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
One Newton Executive Park, Suite 202, Newton, MA, USA, 02462
Allena Pharmaceuticals Inc is a late-stage clinical biopharmaceutical company engaged in developing and commercializing first-in-class, oral enzyme therapeutics to treat patients with rare and severe metabolic and kidney disorders. The company is focused on metabolic disorders that result in excess accumulation of certain metabolites, such as oxalate and urate, that can cause kidney stones, damage the kidney, and potentially lead to chronic kidney disease, or CKD, and end-stage renal disease. The company's product candidate, reloxaliase, is a first-in-class, oral enzyme therapeutic for the treatment of hyperoxaluria, a metabolic disorder characterized by markedly elevated urinary oxalate levels and commonly associated with kidney stones, CKD and other serious kidney diseases.
Executives
Louis Md Brenner officer: See Remarks RADIUS HEALTH, INC., 201 BROADWAY, 6TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Mark J. Fitzpatrick director 101 MAIN STREET, SUITE 1850, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Richard D Katz officer: Chief Financial Officer 4505 EMPEROR BOULEVARD, SUITE 300, DURHAM NC 27703
Edward Wholihan officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ALLENA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., ONE NEWTOWN EXECUTIVE PARK SUITE 202, NEWTON MA 02462
Ann Calby Miller director C/O INOVIO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 660 W. GERMANTOWN PIKE, SUITE 110, PLYMOUTH MEETING PA 19462
Allene M. Diaz director C/O ALLENA PHARMACEUTIALS, INC., ONEW NEWTON EXECUTIVE PARK SUITE 202, NEWTON MA 02462
Hack Andrew A. F. director 300 THIRD STREET, FIRST FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Bessemer Venture Partners Vii L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS, 1865 PALMER AVENUE, LARCHMONT NY 10538
Hbm Biocapital Ii Lp 10 percent owner 11-15 SEATON PLACE, ST. HELIER Y9 JE4 0QH
James N Topper director, 10 percent owner 550 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 100, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Fhm Vi, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 601 UNION STREET, SUITE 3200, SEATTLE WA 98101
Robert I Tepper director, 10 percent owner 201 BROOKLINE AVE, SUITE 1401, BOSTON MA 02215
Third Rock Ventures Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner 29 NEWBURY STREET, 3RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Robert Alexander director 508 WRANGLER DRIVE, SUITE 100, COPPELL TX 75019
Alexey L Margolin director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O ALTUS PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 125 SIDNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139