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Apogee Enterprises (Apogee Enterprises) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $66.16 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Apogee Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-29), Apogee Enterprises's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $66.16.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Apogee Enterprises's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Apogee Enterprises is 6.21%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Apogee Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Apogee Enterprises was 0.73. The lowest was 0.51. And the median was 0.58.

APOG's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Construction industry.
Industry Median: 0.74
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Apogee Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Apogee Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Apogee Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Apogee Enterprises Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 41.16 - - -

Apogee Enterprises Quarterly Data
Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Apogee Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Apogee Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Apogee Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Apogee Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Apogee Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Apogee Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.62%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 10.30%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Apogee Enterprises's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 10.30%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 10.30%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $4.05.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Apogee Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.103)/(1+0.11) = 0.99369369369369
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=4.05*16.3355
=66.16

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (66.16 - 62.05) / 66.16
= 6.21 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Apogee Enterprises  (NAS:APOG) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Apogee Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Apogee Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Apogee Enterprises (Apogee Enterprises) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4400 West 78th Street, Suite 520, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55435
Apogee Enterprises Inc is a manufacturer of architectural glass and metal glass framings. The company also provides building glass installation services. Its four main business segments are Architectural Framing Systems; Architectural Glass; Architectural Services and Large-Scale Optical Technologies (LSO). It generates maximum revenue from the Architectural Framing Systems segment. The Architectural Framing Systems segment designs, engineers, fabricates and finishes the aluminum frames used in customized aluminum and glass window, curtainwall, storefront and entrance systems comprising the outside skin and entrances of commercial, institutional and high-end multi-family residential buildings. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from the United States.
Executives
Curtis John Dobler officer: SVP & CHRO 4400 WEST 78TH STREET, SUITE 520, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55435
Jane Marie Boyce officer: President, Large Scale Optical 4400 W 78TH STREET, SUITE 520, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55435
Brent C Jewell officer: Sr VP Business Dev & Strategy 4400 WEST 78TH STREET, SUITE 520, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55435
Meghan Marie Elliott officer: Vice Pres, Gen Counsel, Secy C/O APOGEE ENTERPRISES, INC., 4400 WEST 78TH STREET, SUITE 520, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55435
Matthew J Osberg officer: EVP and CFO 1 HELEN OF TROY PLAZA, EL PASO TX 79912
Gary R Johnson officer: Treasurer & Vice President
Mark Richard Augdahl officer: VP, Finance & Corp Controller 4400 WEST 78TH STREET, SUITE 520, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55435
Herbert K Parker director 38505 WOODWARD AVENUE, SUITE 200, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48304
Troy R Johnson officer: Pres, Architectural Services C/O APOGEE ENTERPRISES, INC., 4400 WEST 78TH STREET, SUITE 520, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55435
Nicholas Charles Longman officer: Pres, Architectural Glass C/O APOGEE ENTERPRISES, INC., 4400 WEST 78TH STREET, SUITE 520, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55435
Ty R Silberhorn director, officer: Chief Executive Officer & Pres 3M COMPANY OFFICE OF GENERAL COUNSEL, 3M CENTER, ST PAUL MN 55144-1000
Bernard P Aldrich director 7725 WASHINGTON AVENUE SOUTH, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55439
Joseph F. Puishys director, officer: Chief Executive Officer & Pres 4400 WEST 78TH STREET, SUITE 520, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55435
Maureen Ann Hayes officer: Chief Information Officer 4400 WEST 78TH STREET, SUITE 520, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55435
Nisheet Gupta officer: EVP and CFO C/O APOGEE ENTERPRISES, INC., 4400 WEST 78TH STREET, SUITE 520, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55435

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