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BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II (BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $57.26 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $57.26.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II is 69.23%.

The historical rank and industry rank for BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

BSTZ's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 0.83
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II Annual Data
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Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II Semi-Annual Data
Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Asset Management subindustry, BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 11.20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 11.20%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 11.20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $3.3021.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.112)/(1+0.11) = 1.0018018018018
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=3.3021*17.3407
=57.26

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (57.26 - 17.62) / 57.26
= 69.23 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II  (NYSE:BSTZ) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II (BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
100 Bellevue Parkway, Wilmington, DE, USA, 19809
BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II is a non-diversified, closed-end management investment company. The trust's investment objectives are to provide total return and income through a combination of current income, current gains, and long-term capital appreciation. Its portfolio consists of Equity Securities, Options, Preferred Securities, Convertible Securities, Depositary Receipts, Non-U.S. Securities, Emerging Markets Investments, Restricted and Illiquid Investments, Private Company Investments, Corporate Bonds, and other investments.
Executives
Tony Kim other: Portfolio Manager 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Arthur Philip Steinmetz director 50 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Aaron David Wasserman officer: Chief Compliance Officer 50 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Kyle Mcclements other: Portfolio Manager 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Caroline Elizabeth Tall other: Portfolio Manager 60 STATE STREET, 19TH/20TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02109
Lorenzo Flores director 2100 LOGIC DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95124
James Phillip Holloman director P.O. BOX 625737, 6800 CINTAS BOULEVARD, CINCINNATI OH 45262
Stayce D. Harris director 1999 S. BASCOM AVE., SUITE 700, CAMPBELL CA 95008
Jonathan Diorio officer: Vice President 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Trent Walker officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O PIMCO, 650 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Robert W Fairbairn director 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Cynthia Egan director 7117 BELLONA AVENUE, BALTIMORE MD 21212
Steven Reid Menge other: Portfolio Manager 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Richard Cavanagh director 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Blackrock Financial Management Inc/de other: Affil. of Investment Adviser 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809

BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II (BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II) Headlines

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