Change Healthcare (Change Healthcare) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 06, 2024)

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What is Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), Change Healthcare's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Change Healthcare's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Change Healthcare is

The historical rank and industry rank for Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CHNG's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry.
Industry Median: 1.14
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Change Healthcare Annual Data

Trend

Mar17

Mar18

Mar19

Mar20

Mar21

Mar22

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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Change Healthcare Quarterly Data
	Dec17	Mar18	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial														-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Health Information Services subindustry, Change Healthcare's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Change Healthcare's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Change Healthcare's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Change Healthcare's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(	-	27.49)	/

Change Healthcare (NAS:CHNG) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Change Healthcare (Change Healthcare) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » Change Healthcare Inc (NAS:CHNG) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

424 Church Street, Suite 1400, Nashville, TN, USA, 37219

Website

https://www.changehealthcare.com

Change Healthcare is a spinoff of various healthcare processing and consulting services acquired by McKesson over numerous years. Recently, these processing assets were contributed to a joint venture and in June 2019 public shares were issued with McKesson retaining the majority interest. As of the end of the March 2020 quarter, McKesson distributed all its interest in the public processor. Core services consist of insurance (healthcare) claim clearinghouse for healthcare payers in addition to administrative and consulting services to assist healthcare providers improve reimbursement coding, billing, and collections.

Executives

Tracy Byers	officer: SVP and GM, Enterprise Imaging	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 424 CHURCH STREET, SUITE 1400 NASHVILLE TN 37219
Steven B. Martin	officer: EVP, Enterprise Technology	3055 LEBANON PIKE SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Nella Domenici	director	C/O ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Paul Rareshide	officer: SVP, Corporate Controller	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Fredrik J Eliasson	officer: EVP & CFO	500 WATER STREET, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
De Crescenzo Neil E.	director, officer: President & CEO	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Diana Mckenzie	director	METLIFE, 200 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10166
Roderick H. O'reilly	officer: See Remarks	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC., 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000, NASHVILLE TN 37214
August Calhoun	officer: See Remarks	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Thomas Mcenery	officer: EVP & Chief Marketing Officer
Bansi Nagji	director	MCKESSON CORPORATION, 6555 STATE HIGHWAY 161, IRVING TX 75039
Alex P. Choy	officer: See Remarks	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Linda Whitley-taylor	officer: EVP & Chief People Officer	C/O BENSON HILL, INC., 1001 NORTH WARSON ROAD, SAINT LOUIS MO 63132
Phillip W. Roe	director	20 BURTON HILLS BOULEVARD SUITE 100 NASHVILLE TN 37215
Kriten Joshi	officer: See Remarks	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214