Diversified Healthcare Trust (Diversified Healthcare Trust) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $-12.03 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Diversified Healthcare Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Diversified Healthcare Trust's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $-12.03.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Diversified Healthcare Trust's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Diversified Healthcare Trust is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Diversified Healthcare Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Diversified Healthcare Trust was 5.51. The lowest was 2.36. And the median was 3.54.

DHC's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the REITs industry.
Industry Median: 1.96
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Diversified Healthcare Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Diversified Healthcare Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Diversified Healthcare Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Diversified Healthcare Trust Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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Diversified Healthcare Trust Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Diversified Healthcare Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the REIT - Healthcare Facilities subindustry, Diversified Healthcare Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Diversified Healthcare Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Diversified Healthcare Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Diversified Healthcare Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Diversified Healthcare Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Diversified Healthcare Trust's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was -35.90%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $-1.0422.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Diversified Healthcare Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

-1.0422

11.5406

-12.03

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(-12.03	-	2.43)	/	-12.03
	=	N/A

Diversified Healthcare Trust (NAS:DHC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Diversified Healthcare Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Diversified Healthcare Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Diversified Healthcare Trust (Diversified Healthcare Trust) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Diversified Healthcare Trust (NAS:DHC) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

GMRE CHTH UHT CHCT HLTC CVMCA NHHS STRW LTC AHR WELL VTR DOC OHI HR SBRA CTRE XBRU:AED MPW NHI

Traded in Other Exchanges

SNF:Germany

Address

255 Washington Street, Suite 300, Two Newton Place, Newton, MA, USA, 02458-1634

Website

https://www.dhcreit.com

Diversified Healthcare Trust is a real estate investment trust that focuses on healthcare-related properties, including life science estates, medical offices, and senior living communities. It acquires and owns properties and is engaged in the development and implementation of medical services and technologies. It operates through two segments: its office portfolio and its senior housing operating portfolio. The office portfolio includes medical office properties leased to medical-related businesses and life sciences properties. The SHOP segment runs communities that offer multiple types of residential care, ranging from independent living to nursing services. DHT operates across the United States and the majority of its revenue derives from rents and medical programs.

Executives

Matthew C. Brown	officer: CFO and Treasurer	C/O OFFICE PROPERTIES INCOME TRUST, TWO NEWTON PLACE, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Phyllis M. Hollis	director	TWO NEWTON PLACE, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, SUITE 300, NEWTON MA 02458-1634
David A Pierce	director	BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION, 300 BOSTON SCIENTIFIC WAY, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752-1234
John L Harrington	director	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Daniel F. Lepage	director	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, SUITE 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Jennifer F. Mintzer	officer: President and COO	C/O DIVERSIFIED HEALTHCARE TRUST, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASHINGTON STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Jennifer B Clark	director
Siedel Richard W. Jr.	officer: Treasurer and C.F.O.	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Lisa Harris Jones	director	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Jeffrey P. Somers	director	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Doyle Richard A Jr	officer: Treasurer and CFO	C/O FIVE STAR QUALITY CARE, INC., 400 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Adam D. Portnoy	director	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
John R Hoadley	officer: Treasurer & CFO
David J Hegarty	officer: President & COO	C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Frank J Bailey	director	C/O REIT MANAGEMENT & RESEARCH LLC, 400 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON MA 02458