DHC (Diversified Healthcare Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


DHC Diversified Healthcare Trust DHC
56 GF Score
Price $9.37
GF Value $3.20
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Diversified Healthcare Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Diversified Healthcare Trust DHC +2.52% 56 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates DHC with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.20 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Diversified Healthcare Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Diversified Healthcare Trust  (NAS:DHC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Diversified Healthcare Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

DHC vs LTC, SILA, MPT: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the REIT - Healthcare Facilities subindustry, Diversified Healthcare Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Diversified Healthcare Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Diversified Healthcare Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Diversified Healthcare Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


DHC
56GF Score
Diversified Healthcare Trust DHC
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Diversified Healthcare Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.86

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is Diversified Healthcare Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Diversified Healthcare Trust's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, Diversified Healthcare Trust has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Diversified Healthcare Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to LTC and SILA?
Diversified Healthcare Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the REITs industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a REITs company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the REITs industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Diversified Healthcare Trust's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Diversified Healthcare Trust stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.20, compared to a current price of $9.37 — trading 192.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Diversified Healthcare Trust's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Diversified Healthcare Trust stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $9.37 is trading 192.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.20. GuruFocus considers Diversified Healthcare Trust to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for DHC:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
  • GF Value™: $3.20 vs. price of $9.37 (192.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the DHC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Diversified Healthcare Trust Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Other Exchanges SNF:Germany
Address 255 Washington Street, Suite 300, Two Newton Place, Newton, MA, USA, 02458-1634
Diversified Healthcare Trust is a real estate investment trust that focuses on healthcare-related properties, including life science estates, medical offices, and senior living communities. It acquires and owns properties and is engaged in the development and implementation of medical services and technologies. The company has two reportable segments: SHOP (Senior Housing Operating Portfolio) and Medical Office and Life Science Portfolio. The SHOP segment includes managed senior living communities providing residential living and care services. The Medical Office and Life Science Portfolio segment consists of properties leased to medical providers and biotechnology laboratories. It generates the majority of its revenue from the SHOP segment.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for DHC

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$9.37
Price
$3.20
GF Value