Goldmanchs BDC (Goldmanchs BDC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $18.70 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is Goldmanchs BDC Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), Goldmanchs BDC's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $18.70.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Goldmanchs BDC's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Goldmanchs BDC is 16.10%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Goldmanchs BDC's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

GSBD's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 0.84
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Goldmanchs BDC Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Goldmanchs BDC's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Goldmanchs BDC Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Goldmanchs BDC Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

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Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

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Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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Goldmanchs BDC Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Goldmanchs BDC's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Goldmanchs BDC's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Goldmanchs BDC's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Goldmanchs BDC's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Goldmanchs BDC's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Goldmanchs BDC Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Goldmanchs BDC's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.62.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Goldmanchs BDC's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

1.62

11.5406

18.70

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(18.7	-	15.69)	/	18.7
	=	16.10 %

Goldmanchs BDC (NYSE:GSBD) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Goldmanchs BDC Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Goldmanchs BDC's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Goldmanchs BDC (Goldmanchs BDC) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Goldman Sachs BDC Inc (NYSE:GSBD) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

GSB:Germany

Address

200 West Street, New York, NY, USA, 10282

Website

https://www.goldmansachsbdc.com

Goldman Sachs BDC Inc is a non-diversified, closed-end management investment company that elected to be regulated as a business development company focused on lending to middle-market companies. The investment objective is to generate current income and, to a lesser extent, capital appreciation primarily through direct originations of secured debt, including the first lien, unitranche and second lien debt, and unsecured debt. It invests primarily in U.S. middle-market companies such as banks and the public debt markets. The company's origination strategy focuses on leading the negotiation and structuring of the loans or securities in which it invests and holding the investments in its portfolio to maturity. It generates majority revenue in the form of interest income and dividend income.

Executives

David Miller	officer: See Remarks	C/O GOLDMAN SACHS MML CORP., 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Jennifer Yang	officer: Vice President	C/O GOLDMAN SACHS MML CORP. II, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282-2198
Greg Watts	officer: Vice President	C/O GOLDMAN SACHS MML CORP. II, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282-2198
Justin Betzen	officer: Vice President	C/O GOLDMAN SACHS MML CORP. II, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282-2198
Tucker Greene	officer: Vice President	C/O GOLDMAN SACHS MML CORP. II, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282-2198
Gabriella Skirnick	officer: See Remarks	C/O GOLDMAN SACHS MML CORP. II, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Alex Chi	officer: See Remarks	C/O GOLDMAN SACHS MML CORP., 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Susan B Mcgee	director	7900 CALLAGHAN ROAD, SAN ANTONIO TX 78229
Ann B Lane	director	C/O DEALERTRACK HOLDINGS, INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, SUITE M04, NEW YORK NY 11042
Jonathan Lamm,	officer: See Remarks	200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Joseph F Dimaria	officer: Interim CFO & Interim Treas	C/O BANK OF AMERICA INVESTMETN ADVISORS, 100 FEDERAL STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Carlos E Evans	director	3100 SMOKETREE COURT, SUITE 600, RALEIGH NC 27616
Richard A Mark	director	2052 STONEBRIDGE CT, WHEATON IL 60189
Timothy J Leach	director	C/O UNITED STATES TRUST COMPANY, 114 WEST 47TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10036-1532
Jordan Walter	officer: Executive Vice President	200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282