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Autoscope Technologies (Autoscope Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $5.10 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Autoscope Technologies Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Autoscope Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.10. The stock price of Autoscope Technologies is $6.35. Therefore, Autoscope Technologies's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Autoscope Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AATC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.81   Med: 1.49   Max: 4.73
Current: 1.25

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Autoscope Technologies was 4.73. The lowest was 0.81. And the median was 1.49.

AATC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
55.33% of 1632 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.4 vs AATC: 1.25

Autoscope Technologies Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Autoscope Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Autoscope Technologies Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Autoscope Technologies Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.96 3.75 4.23 4.43 -

Autoscope Technologies Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.42 4.43 4.87 5.10 -

Competitive Comparison of Autoscope Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Scientific & Technical Instruments subindustry, Autoscope Technologies's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Autoscope Technologies's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Autoscope Technologies's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Autoscope Technologies's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Autoscope Technologies Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Autoscope Technologies's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1.20.

Autoscope Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1.19856+22.546*0.8)/5.425
=5.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Autoscope Technologies  (OTCPK:AATC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Autoscope Technologies's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=6.35/5.4281129232921
=1.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Autoscope Technologies Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Autoscope Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Autoscope Technologies (Autoscope Technologies) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1115 Hennepin Avenue, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55403
Autoscope Technologies Corp is engaged in improving safety and efficiency for cities and highways by developing and delivering above-ground detection technology, applications, and solutions. It provides Intelligent Transportation Systems professionals precise and accurate information, including real-time reaction capabilities and in-depth analytics to make confident and proactive decisions.
Executives
Joseph Patrick Daly director 497 CIRCLE FREEWAY, CINCINNATI OH 45246
Brian Vanderbosch director 1600 UNIVERSITY AVE W, SUITE 400, SAINT PAUL MN 55104
James W Bracke director 15411 MASON POINTE, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55347
Ezekiel Kruglick director 13842 DEERGRASS CT, POWAY CA 92064
Frank Glenn Hallowell officer: CFO 500 SPRUCE TREE CENTRE,, 1600 UNIVERSITY AVENUE WEST, ST. PAUL MN 55104
Theodore Thomas Johnson officer: Interim CFO 500 SPRUCE TREE, 1600 UNIVERSITY AVE. W, ST. PAUL MN 55104
Ab Value Management Llc 10 percent owner 208 LENOX AVE, #409, WESTFIELD NJ 07090
Todd Christoper Slawson officer: Interim CFO 3345 YOSEMITE AVENUE SOUTH, ST. LOUIS PARK MN 55416
Richard A. Ehrich officer: Interim CFO 500 SPRUCE TREE CENTRE, 1600 UNIVERSITY AVE W., ST. PAUL MN 55104
Geoffrey Clark Davis director 8828 CRICK ALY, ORLANDO FL 32827
Chad Stelzig officer: Interim President, Interim CEO 400 SPRUCE TREE CENTRE, 1600 UNIVERSITY AVE W., ST. PAUL MN 55104
Andrew Berger director, 10 percent owner 84 ELM STREET, WESTFIELD NJ 07090
Marxe Austin W & Greenhouse David M 10 percent owner C/O SPECIAL SITUATIONS FUNDS, 527 MADISON AVENUE, SUITE 2600, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kris B Tufto director 2660 CHRISTIAN COURT, CHASKA MN 55318
Melissa B Fisher director 188 E. 64TH STREET, APT. 604, NEW YORK NY 10065