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American Superconductor (American Superconductor) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-0.79 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is American Superconductor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.79. The stock price of American Superconductor is $11.86. Therefore, American Superconductor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of American Superconductor was 32.08. The lowest was 12.08. And the median was 14.72.

AMSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Industrial Products industry.
Industry Median: 1.53
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

American Superconductor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

American Superconductor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

American Superconductor Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.88 -1.04 0.84 0.63 -1.43

American Superconductor Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.54 -1.43 -1.98 -1.83 -0.79

Competitive Comparison of American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, American Superconductor's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Superconductor's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, American Superconductor's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Superconductor's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



American Superconductor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get American Superconductor's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-7.60.

American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.37706741589*-7.60272+79.525*0.8)/29.092
=-0.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


American Superconductor  (NAS:AMSC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

American Superconductor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=11.86/-0.7863556298684
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


American Superconductor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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American Superconductor (American Superconductor) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
114 East Main Street, Ayer, MA, USA, 01432
American Superconductor Corp generates the ideas, technologies, and solutions that meet world's demand for smarter, cleaner and energy. Through its Windtec Solutions, the company enables manufacturers to launch wind turbines quickly, effectively and profitably. Through its Gridtec Solutions, the company provides engineering planning services and grid systems that optimize network reliability, efficiency and performance. The company's segment includes Grid and Wind. It generates maximum revenue from the Grid segment.
Executives
Daniel P Mcgahn officer: VP, Stategic Planning,Corp Dev C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR, 64 JACKSON ROAD, DEVENS MA 01434
Kosiba John W Jr officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORPORATION, 64 JACKSON ROAD, DEVENS MA 01434
Margaret D. Klein director C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORPORATION, 114 EAST MAIN STREET, AYER MA 01432
Laura A. Dambier director C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORPORATION, 114 EAST MAIN STREET, AYER MA 01432
Vikram S Budhraja director 201 S LAKE AVE STE 400, PASADENA CA 91101
Barbara G. Littlefield director C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORPORATION, 114 EAST MAIN STREET, AYER MA 01432
Wood John W Jr director C/O ANALOGIC, 8 CENTENNIAL DRIVE, PEABODY MA 01960
Oliver David R Jr director C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR, 2 TECHNOLOGY DR, WESTBOROUGH MA 01581
John Vander Sande director
Arthur H House director C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORPORATION, 64 JACKSON ROAD, DEVENS MA 01434
David A Henry officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer
James F Maguire officer: EVP, Gridtec Solutions C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORP., 64 JACKSON ROAD, DEVENS MA 01434
Kevin Douglas 10 percent owner 300A DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 200, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Susan J Dicecco officer: VP, Corporate Administration C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR, 64 JACKSON ROAD, DEVENS MA 01434
Angelo R Santamaria officer: VP & GM, AMSC Wires Bus. Unit MICROSEMI CORP, 2381 MORSE AVE, IRVINE CA 92614