AMSC (American Superconductor) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $9.12 (As of Aug. 03, 2026) — 25% Below Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

AMSC American Superconductor Corp AMSC
80 GF Score
Price $30.99
GF Value $31.91
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is American Superconductor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

American Superconductor AMSC +5.57% 80 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $9.12 as of Aug. 03, 2026, which is 25% below its 10-year median of 12.08. GuruFocus rates AMSC with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of $31.91 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,032 Industrial Products companies, American Superconductor ranks worse than 71.8% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-03), American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $9.12. The stock price of American Superconductor is $30.99. Therefore, American Superconductor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AMSC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.19   Med: 12.08   Max: 22.57
Current: 3.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of American Superconductor was 22.57. The lowest was 3.19. And the median was 12.08.

AMSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
71.8% of 2032 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.69 vs AMSC: 3.40

American Superconductor  (NAS:AMSC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

American Superconductor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=30.99/9.1169128224103
=3.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


American Superconductor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


American Superconductor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

American Superconductor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

American Superconductor Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.63 -1.43 1.39 1.33 9.12

American Superconductor Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.33 4.40 4.70 8.44 9.12

AMSC vs TNC, BW, GHM: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, American Superconductor's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Superconductor Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, American Superconductor's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Superconductor's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


AMSC
80GF Score
American Superconductor Corp AMSC
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

American Superconductor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get American Superconductor's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-1.47.

American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.782718065916*-1.46704+555.447*0.8)/46.683
=9.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $9.12 mean?
American Superconductor (AMSC) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $9.12 as of Aug. 03, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on American Superconductor and its competitors. This is 25% below median its historical median of 12.08. Over the past decade, American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 3.19 to 22.57. According to the industry distribution chart, American Superconductor ranks #1459 out of 2032 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 71.8%.
Is American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
American Superconductor's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $9.12 is 25% below median its 10-year median of 12.08. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.19 to a high of 22.57. The Industrial Products industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.69. American Superconductor's value of $9.12 is 439.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, American Superconductor ranks #1459 out of 2032 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, American Superconductor has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to TNC and BW?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, American Superconductor ranks #1459 out of 2032 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places American Superconductor in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.69. American Superconductor's value of $9.12 is 439.6% above this benchmark. Historically, American Superconductor's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 3.19 to 22.57 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 12.08 vs. the industry median of 1.69, American Superconductor has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Industrial Products company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Industrial Products companies is 1.69, based on 2,032 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. American Superconductor's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $9.12 is 439.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on American Superconductor and its competitors. For the Industrial Products industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.69 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. American Superconductor's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $9.12, which is 25% below median its own 10-year median of 12.08. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is American Superconductor stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, American Superconductor (AMSC) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $31.91, compared to a current price of $30.99 — trading 2.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $9.12, which is 25% below median its 10-year median of 12.08 and 439.6% above the Industrial Products industry median of 1.69. American Superconductor's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For American Superconductor (AMSC), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $9.12 as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is American Superconductor (AMSC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, American Superconductor stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $30.99 is trading 2.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $31.91. GuruFocus considers American Superconductor to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for AMSC:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $9.12 (25% below median its 10-year median of 12.08)
  • GF Value™: $31.91 vs. price of $30.99 (2.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 439.6% above the Industrial Products median (#1459 of 2032)

No single metric tells the full story. See the AMSC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


American Superconductor Business Description

Address 114 East Main Street, Ayer, MA, USA, 01432
American Superconductor Corp generates the ideas, technologies, and solutions that meet the world's demand for smarter, cleaner, and energy. Through its Windtec Solutions, the company enables manufacturers to launch wind turbines quickly, effectively, and profitably. Through its Gridtec Solutions, the company provides engineering planning services and grid systems that optimize network reliability, efficiency, and performance. The company's segment includes Grid and Wind. It generates maximum revenue from the Grid segment.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AMSC

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$30.99
Price
$31.91
GF Value