APA Group (APA Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $2.79 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is APA Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-28), APA Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.79. The stock price of APA Group is $5.31. Therefore, APA Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for APA Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

APAJF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.9 Med: 2.22 Max: 3.35
Current: 1.9

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of APA Group was 3.35. The lowest was 1.90. And the median was 2.22.

APAJF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
71% of 369 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 1.03 vs APAJF: 1.90

APA Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for APA Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

APA Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

APA Group Annual Data

Trend

Jun14

Jun15

Jun16

Jun17

Jun18

Jun19

Jun20

Jun21

Jun22

Jun23

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

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-2.85

-2.21

-1.39

3.63

2.89

APA Group Semi-Annual Data
	Jun14	Dec14	Jun15	Dec15	Jun16	Dec16	Jun17	Dec17	Jun18	Dec18	Jun19	Dec19	Jun20	Dec20	Jun21	Dec21	Jun22	Dec22	Jun23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	3.63	-	2.89	-

Competitive Comparison of APA Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, APA Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

APA Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, APA Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where APA Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.

APA Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get APA Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $310.74.

APA Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	=	(Growth Multiple	*	Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)	+	Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)	*	0.8)	/	Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
	=	(9.5203515959648	*	310.73657142857	+	901.342	*	0.8)	/	1179.894
	=	3.12

APA Group (OTCPK:APAJF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

APA Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF	=	Share Price	/	Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
	=	5.31	/	3.1184114960536
	=	1.70

APA Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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APA Group (APA Group) Business Description

Industry

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Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

PJZ:Germany APA:Australia

Address

580 George Street, Level 25, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000

Website

https://www.apa.com.au

APA Group is Australia's largest gas infrastructure company with an extensive portfolio of transmission pipelines, distribution networks, and storage facilities, and is increasingly investing in renewable energy generation, electricity transmission, and batteries. It is internally managed and has direct operational control over all assets. It owns minority stakes in a few smaller gas infrastructure companies and manages operations for most of these. The stapled securities comprise a unit in Australian Pipeline Trust and in APT Investment Trust.