APAJF (APA Group) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -271.09% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


APAJF APA Group APAJF
71 GF Score
Price $7.50
GF Value $6.18
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 13 Warning Signs
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What is APA Group Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

APA Group APAJF -6.09% 71 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -271.09% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates APAJF with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of $6.18 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 13 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-25), APA Group's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars. APA Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is $0.95 and current share price is $7.496. Consequently,

APA Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is -271.09%.

APAJF vs ATO, NI, UGI: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, APA Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

APA Group Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, APA Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where APA Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


APAJF
71GF Score
APA Group APAJF
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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APA Group Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

APA Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(2.02-7.496)/2.02
=-271.09 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -271.09% mean?
APA Group (APAJF) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -271.09% as of Jun. 25, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on APA Group.
Is APA Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
APA Group's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -271.09%. Overall, APA Group has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does APA Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to ATO and NI?
APA Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -271.09% can be compared against companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on APA Group. APA Group's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -271.09%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is APA Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, APA Group (APAJF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $6.18, compared to a current price of $7.50 — trading 21.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -271.09%. APA Group's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 13 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For APA Group (APAJF), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -271.09% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is APA Group (APAJF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, APA Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $7.50 is trading 21.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $6.18. GuruFocus considers APA Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for APAJF:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -271.09%
  • GF Value™: $6.18 vs. price of $7.50 (21.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 13 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the APAJF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

APA Group Business Description

Other Exchanges PJZ:GermanyAPA:Australia
Address 580 George Street, Level 25, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
APA Group is Australia's largest gas infrastructure company with an extensive portfolio of transmission pipelines, distribution networks, and storage facilities, and is increasingly investing in renewable energy generation, electricity transmission, and batteries. It is internally managed and has direct operational control over all assets. It owns minority stakes in a few smaller gas infrastructure companies and manages operations for most of these. The stapled securities comprise a unit in Australian Pipeline Trust and in APT Investment Trust.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for APAJF

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$7.50
Price
$6.18
GF Value