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Aircastle (Aircastle) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $0.00 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Aircastle Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Aircastle's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. The stock price of Aircastle is $32.01. Therefore, Aircastle's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aircastle's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AYR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Business Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.945
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Aircastle Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aircastle's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aircastle Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Aircastle Annual Data
Trend Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -72.58 -82.47 -87.70 -106.75 -103.21

Aircastle Quarterly Data
Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -106.75 -120.41 -124.49 -104.53 -103.21

Competitive Comparison of Aircastle's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Aircastle's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aircastle's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Aircastle's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aircastle's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Aircastle Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Aircastle's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-916.26.

Aircastle's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec19)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.336311950585*-916.2608+2052.684*0.8)/75.548
=-103.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aircastle  (NYSE:AYR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Aircastle's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=32.01/-103.62432171458
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aircastle Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Aircastle's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Aircastle (Aircastle) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
c/o Aircastle Advisor LLC, 201 Tresser Boulevard, Suite 400, Stamford, CT, USA, 06901
Aircastle Ltd is engaged in acquiring, leasing, and selling of commercial jet aircraft to airlines. The company has only single operating segment which is leasing, financing, selling, and managing commercial flight equipment.
Executives
Michael J Cave director C/O ESTERLINE TECHNOLOGIES CORP, 500 108TH AVE NE, SUITE 1500, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Douglas A Hacker director P O BOX 66100-WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60666
Ronald W Allen director P O BOX 1734, ATLANTA GA 30301
Ronald Merriman director 6175 NANCY RIDGE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Charles W. Pollard director 50 CRESCENT AVENUE, SECOND CLIFF, SCITUATE MA 02066
Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board 10 percent owner 5650 YONGE STREET, TORONTO A6 M2M 4H5
Peter V Ueberroth director CONTRARIAN GROUP INC, 1071 CAMELBACK ST, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Wesley R Edens director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 45TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fig Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46 FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Investment Group Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Operating Entity I Lp 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fig Corp. 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Adams Joseph P. Jr. director C/O FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP LLC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Mark S Zeidman officer: Chief Financial Officer 1661 WORTHINGTON ROAD, SUITE 100, W PALM BEACH FL 33409
Fortress Investment Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 1251 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020