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Direct Line Insurance Group (LSE:DLG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : £4.28 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Direct Line Insurance Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Direct Line Insurance Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £4.28. The stock price of Direct Line Insurance Group is £1.853. Therefore, Direct Line Insurance Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Direct Line Insurance Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:DLG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.43   Med: 0.68   Max: 1.06
Current: 0.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Direct Line Insurance Group was 1.06. The lowest was 0.43. And the median was 0.68.

LSE:DLG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
73.21% of 392 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 0.65 vs LSE:DLG: 0.43

Direct Line Insurance Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Direct Line Insurance Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Direct Line Insurance Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Direct Line Insurance Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.38 4.89 4.58 4.68 4.28

Direct Line Insurance Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.58 - 4.68 - 4.28

Competitive Comparison of Direct Line Insurance Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Direct Line Insurance Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Direct Line Insurance Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Direct Line Insurance Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Direct Line Insurance Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Direct Line Insurance Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Direct Line Insurance Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = £389.56.

Direct Line Insurance Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*389.55714285714+2404.7*0.8)/1316.300
=4.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Direct Line Insurance Group  (LSE:DLG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Direct Line Insurance Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.853/4.2790252729009
=0.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Direct Line Insurance Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Direct Line Insurance Group (LSE:DLG) Business Description

Address
Westmoreland Road, Churchill Court, Bromley, Kent, GBR, BR1 1DP
While Direct Line is one of the more focused personal lines insurers that we cover in Europe, it is still quite diversified. The business sells insurance under four divisions and those are personal lines motor, personal lines home, rescue and other personal lines, and commercial. Rescue and other personal lines include rescue, travel and pet insurance, and commercial insurance is sold to small and medium sized enterprises. Direct Line only sells insurance in United Kingdom. Direct Lines personal motor insurance division typically accounts for around 50% of total group gross written premium and the personal home insurance unit typically sells around 20%. Rescue and other personal lines account for around 10% and commercial insurance accounts for around 20%.

Direct Line Insurance Group (LSE:DLG) Headlines

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