GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » USA » NAS » Alarm.com Holdings Inc (NAS:ALRM) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Switch to:

Alarm.com Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $20.57 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2015. Start your Free Trial

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-08-13), Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $20.57. The stock price of Alarm.com Holdings is $76.79. Therefore, Alarm.com Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ALRM' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.01   Med: 4.1   Max: 6.48
Current: 3.73

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alarm.com Holdings was 6.48. The lowest was 3.01. And the median was 4.10.

ALRM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
79.07% of 1209 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.67 vs ALRM: 3.73

Alarm.com Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alarm.com Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 10.47 15.97 23.43

Alarm.com Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.10 23.07 23.43 20.55 20.57

Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Alarm.com Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Alarm.com Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Alarm.com Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $45.56.

Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*45.56144+561.283*0.8)/54.757
=20.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alarm.com Holdings  (NAS:ALRM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Alarm.com Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=76.79/20.567056030207
=3.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alarm.com Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alarm.com Holdings Business Description

Alarm.com Holdings logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8281 Greensboro Drive, Suite 100, Tysons, VA, USA, 22102
Alarm.com Holdings Inc provides a software-as-a-service, or SaaS, platform solution for the connected home. The platform allows home and business owners to secure their properties and automate and control an array of connected devices. SaaS and license fees from service providers, who resell these services and pay Alarm.com a monthly subscription, are the largest sources of revenue for the firm. The SaaS platform also caters to the service provider by offering enterprise-grade business-management solutions to expand and manage its customer base. A large majority of the firm's revenue is generated in the United States and Canada.
Executives
Mcadam Timothy P director 250 MIDDLEFIELD RD MENLO PARK CA 94025
Whall Timothy J. director C/O ADT, LLC 1501 YAMATO ROAD BOCA RATON FL 33431
Evans Stephen C. director C/O ALARM.COM HOLDINGS, INC. 8281 GREENSBORO DRIVE, SUITE 100 TYSONS VA 22102
Tcv Vii Management, L.l.c. 10 percent owner, other: May be part of a13(d) group 528 RAMONA STREET PALO ALTO CA 94301
Wu Simone director 1 CHOICE HOTELS CIRCLE ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Lee Michelle K. director C/O ALARM.COM HOLDINGS, INC. 8281 GREENSBORO DRIVE, SUITE 100 TYSONS VA 22102
Tcv Member Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner, other: May be part of a 13(d) group 528 RAMONA STREET PALO ALTO CA 94301
Technology Crossover Management Vii, L.p. 10 percent owner, other: May be part of a 13(d) group 528 RAMONA STREET PALO ALTO CA 94301
Abs Capital Partners V Trust 10 percent owner 400 EAST PRATT STREET SUITE 910 BALTIMORE MD 21202
Abs Capital Partners, Inc. 10 percent owner 400 EAST PRATT STREET, SUITE 910 BALTIMORE MD 21202-3127
Valenzuela Steve officer: Chief Financial Officer 1800 GREEN HILLS ROAD SCOTTS VALLEY CA 95066
Gollinger Allan Jon officer: Principal Accounting Officer 8281 GREENSBORO DRIVE, STE 100 C/O ALARM.COM HOLDINGS, INC. TYSONS VA 22102
Nevin Darius G director C/O WCI COMMUNITIES, INC. 24301 WALDEN CENTER DRIVE BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Abs Partners V, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O ALARM.COM HOLDINGS, INC. 8150 LEESBURG PIKE VIENNA VA 22182
Abs Partners V Llc 10 percent owner C/O ALARM.COM HOLDINGS, INC. 8150 LEESBURG PIKE VIENNA VA 22182

Alarm.com Holdings Headlines

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)