Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2022-08-13), Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $20.57. The stock price of Alarm.com Holdings is $76.79. Therefore, Alarm.com Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.7.
The historical rank and industry rank for Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
ALRM'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.01 Med: 4.1 Max: 6.48
Current: 3.73
During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alarm.com Holdings was 6.48. The lowest was 3.01. And the median was 4.10.
ALRM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 79.07% of 1209
companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.67
vs ALRM: 3.73
Alarm.com Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
The historical data trend for Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Alarm.com Holdings Annual Data
Trend
Dec12
Dec13
Dec14
Dec15
Dec16
Dec17
Dec18
Dec19
Dec20
Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
-
-
10.47
15.97
23.43
Alarm.com Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep17
Dec17
Mar18
Jun18
Sep18
Dec18
Mar19
Jun19
Sep19
Dec19
Mar20
Jun20
Sep20
Dec20
Mar21
Jun21
Sep21
Dec21
Mar22
Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
18.10
23.07
23.43
20.55
20.57
Competitive Comparison
For the Software - Application subindustry, Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Alarm.com Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution
For the Software industry and Technology sector, Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Alarm.com Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
76.79
/
20.567056030207
=
3.73
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Alarm.com Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alarm.com Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Alarm.com Holdings Inc provides a software-as-a-service, or SaaS, platform solution for the connected home. The platform allows home and business owners to secure their properties and automate and control an array of connected devices. SaaS and license fees from service providers, who resell these services and pay Alarm.com a monthly subscription, are the largest sources of revenue for the firm. The SaaS platform also caters to the service provider by offering enterprise-grade business-management solutions to expand and manage its customer base. A large majority of the firm's revenue is generated in the United States and Canada.
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