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Ovid Therapeutics (Ovid Therapeutics) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-2.07 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Ovid Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Ovid Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-2.07. The stock price of Ovid Therapeutics is $3.07. Therefore, Ovid Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ovid Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ovid Therapeutics was 10.35. The lowest was 10.35. And the median was 10.35.

OVID's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.31
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Ovid Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ovid Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ovid Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ovid Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - 0.31 -1.20 -2.07

Ovid Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.20 -1.46 -1.67 -1.87 -2.07

Competitive Comparison of Ovid Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Ovid Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ovid Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Ovid Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ovid Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Ovid Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ovid Therapeutics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-22.77.

Ovid Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-22.76848+87.797*0.8)/70.689
=-2.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ovid Therapeutics  (NAS:OVID) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ovid Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.07/-2.0728307785609
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ovid Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ovid Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ovid Therapeutics (Ovid Therapeutics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
441 Ninth Avenue, 14th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10001
Ovid Therapeutics Inc is a biopharmaceutical company that is dedicated to reducing seizures and meaningfully improving the lives of people affected by rare epilepsies and seizure-related neurological disorders. The company has built a differentiated pipeline of medicines with potential first-in-class or best-in-class drug mechanisms of action to treat seizures. This pipeline has produced two epilepsy programs with potential first-in-class mechanisms of action, and one epilepsy program with a potential best-in-class mechanism of action.
Executives
Jason Tardio officer: Chief Commercial Officer 1460 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Takeda Pharmaceuticals U.s.a., Inc. 10 percent owner ONE TAKEDA PARKWAY, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Kevin Joseph Fitzgerald director C/O OVID THERAPEUTICS INC., 1460 BROADWAY, SUITE 15044, NEW YORK NY 10036
Amit Rakhit officer: CMO and PMO C/O OVID THERAPEUTICS INC., 1460 BROADWAY, SUITE 15044, NEW YORK NY 10036
Robert Michael Poole director 200 W. HIGHLAND DR., #303, SEATTLE WA 98119
Jeffrey A Rona officer: Chief Business Officer 500 PLAZA DRIVE, SECAUCUS NJ 07094
Jeremy M Levin director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd 10 percent owner 1-1, NIHONBASHI-HONCHO 2-CHOME, CHUO-KU, TOKYO M0 103-8668
Thomas Michael Perone officer: SVP, General Counsel 1460 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Karen Bernstein director C/O VITAE PHARMACEUTICLS, INC., 502 WEST OFFICE CENTER DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Millennium Pharmaceuticals Inc 10 percent owner 40 LANDSDOWNE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Douglas E Williams director C/O AMGEN INC, ONE AMGEN CENTER DR, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320-1799
Ana Ward officer: SVP and General Counsel C/O OVID THERAPEUTICS INC., 1460 BROADWAY, SUITE 15044, NEW YORK NY 10036
Barbara Gayle Duncan director C/O INTERCEPT PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 18 DESBROSSES STREET, NEW YORK NY 10013
Timothy Daly officer: VP, Finance & Corp. Controller 20 KINGSBRIDGE ROAD, PISCATAWAY NJ 08854